[Sep 12, 2026 (Sat)] KBO Analysis KIA @ KT Preview - BeaverStats

Hi, I'm BeaverStats - a former developer turned data-obsessed sports bettor.

I run a site analyzing KBO data, and here's a quick breakdown of one game.

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Quick preview of KIA @ KT (Sep 12, 2026 (Sat)).

The screenshots below are captured straight from the site's data.

You can see the full, more detailed data on the game list.

This post was analyzed/written by AI based on data from beaverstats.com. Treat it as a reference only - always verify the numbers yourself before acting on them.

09/12 KIA @ KT

KIA starting pitcher: Naile KT starting pitcher: Daniel

4th-place KIA (54.9%) visits 1st-place KT (61.3%), and with the Wiz on a 4-game win streak the recent momentum clearly favors the home side. That said, the season series is dead even at 6-6, so the standings gap hasn't translated into head-to-head dominance.

The starting matchup is the real story here. Naile carries a solid 3.66 ERA over 152.2 innings with a 9.8% SwStr% / 28.8% CSW%, but his last-5-start FIP has actually climbed to 4.08. That bump looks driven mostly by home runs - he's allowed 4 in his last 31 innings, a clearly elevated rate versus his season pace - and his BABIP (.300) and LOB% (83.8%) over that stretch are right in line with (or better than) his season marks (.303 / 74.1%), so nothing else about his performance has gotten worse; his SwStr%/CSW% (9.7%/29.6%) also match his season levels. Daniel is a different story entirely: he's thrown just 25 innings all season, so every split here is a small-sample warning sign. His home ERA (1.5 over 12 IP) is backed up by a genuinely strong 2.71 FIP, but his BABIP (.267) and LOB% (85.7%) both ran in his favor too, so it's too early to trust a 12-inning sample that clean, and his SwStr% (9%) trails Naile's.

The head-to-head history flips the picture again. Naile is 4.91 ERA against KT across 4 career starts (22 IP) - clearly worse than his numbers against everyone else - while Daniel has faced KIA exactly once (Sept. 6, 3 IP, 3 ER) and got roughed up for a 9.00 ERA. That KIA number in particular is a single-start sample, so it's too early to call it a real trend rather than an outlier.

Both lineups are still unconfirmed, so this is based on the most recent game. On KT's side, Min-hyeok Kim is 5-for-10 (.500) against Naile lifetime and Hilliard is 4-for-10 (.400), both real red flags for the KIA starter. KIA's Castro is 2-for-2 against Daniel, but that sample is far too small to lean on. Both offenses are trending hot regardless of who's on the mound - KIA is up from a .288 season average to .310 over the last 5 games, and KT has climbed from .290 to .322 over the same stretch.

The bullpens clearly favor KIA on ERA - 2.95 over their last 10 games versus KT's 4.98. KIA's relief corps has logged more work recently, though (14.3 IP across 7 arms versus KT's 8.7 IP across 8), so it's worth watching whether that edge holds up with a more taxed pen.

In summary, KT has the edge in standings and recent momentum, but Naile's underlying numbers (BABIP, LOB%, SwStr%) still look solid despite the surface-level FIP bump, and Daniel's strong-looking splits are built on too small a sample to call him a clear favorite. With both offenses running hot, the biggest swing factor today is likely which starter cracks first - and whether KIA's more heavily-used bullpen can hold up.