[Sep 13, 2026 (Sun)] KBO Analysis Hanwha @ KIA Preview - BeaverStats

Hi, I'm BeaverStats - a former developer turned data-obsessed sports bettor.

I run a site analyzing KBO data, and here's a quick breakdown of one game.

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Quick preview of Hanwha @ KIA (Sep 13, 2026 (Sun)).

*Lineups aren't confirmed yet! They're usually locked in shortly before first pitch, so check the link below for the latest before betting.

The screenshots below are captured straight from the site's data.

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09/13 Hanwha @ KIA

Hanwha starting pitcher: White KIA starting pitcher: Shirakawa

7th-place Hanwha (44.6%) visits 4th-place KIA (54.5%). Both teams are on losing streaks right now (Hanwha 2, KIA 1), but the overall talent gap is clear, and the season series backs it up - KIA leads 9-6 (.600).

The starting matchup clearly favors White. He carries a 3.38 ERA over 114.1 innings this season, and on the road - exactly tonight's assignment - his FIP actually improves to 3.30, even better than his season mark. Shirakawa has struggled overall with a 4.91 ERA over 66 innings, and at home - tonight's situation for him - it gets worse still: 6.18 ERA / 4.82 FIP over 27.2 innings, with BABIP (.322) and LOB% (62.2%) both worse than his season numbers too, suggesting a genuine home-field weakness rather than just bad luck. That said, his last-5-start FIP has improved to 3.38, so he's not without positives right now.

Head-to-head, White is 1.71 ERA against KIA over 3 starts (21 IP) - excellent on the surface - but his FIP over that stretch is actually a worse 4.28, with an extreme .203 BABIP and a LOB% over 100%, so with a sample this small it's worth watching whether that shine holds up. Shirakawa is 5.54 ERA / 6.38 FIP against Hanwha over 3 starts (13 IP) - results and process agree here that it's been a rough matchup, though again the sample is small.

Both lineups remain unconfirmed, so this reflects the most recent game. Hanwha's offense has actually gotten hotter, with team wOBA up from .363 this season to .401 over the last 5 games, while KIA has cooled slightly (.345 to .331). Individually, KIA's power duo of Kang Baek-ho and Roh Si-hwan are a combined 0-for-10 against White, though that's a small sample, while Hanwha's Heo In-seo (2-for-6) and Moon Hyun-bin (3-for-7) have had success against Shirakawa.

The bullpens are close, with KIA (3.79 ERA over the last 10 games) a bit more stable than Hanwha (4.66), and both have used a similar workload (around 11 innings each recently).

In summary, the starting matchup (White's road strength, Shirakawa's home weakness) and recent hitting both lean toward Hanwha. White's strong head-to-head mark against KIA is worth watching given the small sample behind it, and the biggest swing factor tonight is probably whether Hanwha's hot offense can jump on Shirakawa early, given how specifically vulnerable he's looked at home.