[Sep 15, 2026 (Tue)] KBO Analysis Lotte @ Samsung Preview - BeaverStats

Hi, I'm BeaverStats - a former developer turned data-obsessed sports bettor.

I run a site analyzing KBO data, and here's a quick breakdown of one game.

KBO analysis is basically my full-time focus these days.

Quick preview of Lotte @ Samsung (Sep 15, 2026 (Tue)).

*Lineups aren't confirmed yet! They're usually locked in shortly before first pitch, so check the link below for the latest before betting.

The screenshots below are captured straight from the site's data.

You can see the full, more detailed data on the game list.

This post was analyzed/written by AI based on data from beaverstats.com. Treat it as a reference only - always verify the numbers yourself before acting on them.

09/15 Lotte vs Samsung

Lotte starting pitcher: Park Se-woong Samsung starting pitcher: Won Tae-in

Lotte sits 9th (43.4%), near the bottom of the standings, while Samsung is 2nd (60.2%) but has dropped 2 straight. The season head-to-head is nearly even at 6-7.

Both starters share an interesting common thread tonight — results trailing well behind process. Park Se-woong is 3-9 with a rough-looking 5.01 ERA, but his FIP sits much better at 3.90, and his season BABIP (.352) and LOB% (65.2%) both point to bad luck on balls in play and stranding runners. His road split tonight (5.5 ERA/3.67 FIP over a sizable 75.1 innings) shows the same pattern. Against Samsung specifically, he's posted a 6.75 ERA over 12 innings (2 starts), with a BABIP spiking to .419 — bad luck seems to have piled up especially hard in this matchup.

Won Tae-in tells a similar story. He's 7-7 with a 4.2 ERA, but his FIP is much better at 3.17, and his home split tonight (3.53 ERA/3.64 FIP over 71.1 innings) is fairly well aligned between results and process. Against Lotte specifically, he's struggled to a 7.13 ERA over 17.2 innings (3 starts), but his FIP there is a respectable 3.90 — another sign that luck hasn't been on his side in this particular matchup either.

Both lineups remain unconfirmed. The two offenses are moving in opposite directions — Lotte has ticked up from a .339 season wOBA to .358 over their last 5 games, while Samsung has cooled sharply from .358 to .310, lining up with their recent 2-game skid. Individually, Samsung's Ryu Ji-hyeok is 4-for-5 (.800) against Park Se-woong, and Lotte's Hwang Sung-bin is 5-for-10 (.500) against Won Tae-in — both strong matchup numbers.

In the bullpen, Lotte has essentially collapsed over their last 10 games at a 7.07 ERA, while Samsung's 5.65 isn't great either, but clearly better in comparison.

In summary, with both starters running better process than results, this could turn into more of a pitchers' duel than the surface numbers suggest. Samsung looks stronger overall on paper, but their recently cooled offense (.310 wOBA) is a concern, and with Lotte's bullpen this shaky, a longer game could tilt further in Samsung's favor.