← Back to list

[Sep 17, 2026 (Thu)] KBO Analysis SSG @ NC Preview - BeaverStats

2026-09-16

Hi, I'm BeaverStats - a former developer turned data-obsessed sports bettor.

I run a site analyzing KBO data, and here's a quick breakdown of one game.

KBO analysis is basically my full-time focus these days.

Quick preview of SSG @ NC (Sep 17, 2026 (Thu)).

*Lineups aren't confirmed yet! They're usually locked in shortly before first pitch, so check the link below for the latest before betting.

The screenshots below are captured straight from the site's data.

You can see the full, more detailed data on the game list.

SSG @ NC starting pitcher comparison SSG @ NC lineup

This post was analyzed/written by AI based on data from beaverstats.com. Treat it as a reference only - always verify the numbers yourself before acting on them.

09/17(Thu) SSG vs NC

SSG starting pitcher: Lee Ro-woon NC starting pitcher: Riley Thompson

SSG have gone 3-2 over their last five, a decent stretch, but still sit 7th (44.8%), while NC are 6th (48.4%) despite a current three-game skid — so this is a lower-table matchup on both sides. SSG hold a clear 6-3 edge in the season series.

On the surface, Thompson's 2.67 ERA looks like it dwarfs Lee Ro-woon's 5.96, but the gap narrows once you look at the process numbers. Lee has a 2.54 FIP, 17.9% K-BB%, and 11.7% SwStr% over his last five starts — a clear step up from his season averages (4.58 FIP, 10.5% K-BB%). He has been notably worse at home (6.50 FIP) than on the road (3.57 FIP), and since this is a road start for him, that home weakness may not be much of a factor tonight. Thompson, meanwhile, has already been performing at a near league-elite level all season (3.42 FIP, 23.8% K-BB%, 17.1% SwStr% over his last five) with little home/road split (3.62 home vs 3.15 road FIP), giving him the edge in consistency.

Lee has struggled against NC specifically in the past (13.5 ERA over three starts), but that's only a 2.2-inning sample, so it's not worth reading too much into.

Both lineups are still unconfirmed, so the most recent lineups are used as a stand-in — and by that measure, NC's offense has been running hot lately (.390 team wOBA over the last five games) compared to SSG's .286. Top-of-order bats like Park Min-woo, Park Gun-woo, and Kim Hwi-jip have all been swinging well recently.

NC's bullpen has also been steadier (3.6 ERA over its last 10 games vs. SSG's 5.34) and has absorbed more innings recently (16.7 IP vs. 10 IP).

In summary, the starting matchup itself leans slightly toward Thompson on process metrics, though not by a wide margin, while NC holds the edge in recent lineup form and bullpen stability.