[Sep 22, 2026 (Tue)] KBO Analysis Lotte @ Hanwha Preview - BeaverStats

Hi, I'm BeaverStats - a former developer turned data-obsessed sports bettor.

I run a site analyzing KBO data, and here's a quick breakdown of one game.

KBO analysis is basically my full-time focus these days.

Quick preview of Lotte @ Hanwha (Sep 22, 2026 (Tue)).

*Lineups aren't confirmed yet! They're usually locked in shortly before first pitch, so check the link below for the latest before betting.

The screenshots below are captured straight from the site's data.

You can see the full, more detailed data on the game list.

This post was analyzed/written by AI based on data from beaverstats.com. Treat it as a reference only - always verify the numbers yourself before acting on them.

09/22 Giants vs Eagles

Giants starting pitcher: Jeremy Beasley Eagles starting pitcher: Ryu Hyun-jin

Eighth-place Lotte and ninth-place Hanwha open a two-game series today in Daejeon. Lotte is 56-71 and on a three-game winning streak, while Hanwha is 54-72 and has lost eight in a row. Hanwha leads the season series 10-3, but standings and head-to-head records are already priced in, so I will not use them to reach a conclusion. It is a 6:30 p.m. game at 23.7C with light wind and 0% chance of rain, so weather is not a factor.

The pitching matchup favors Ryu Hyun-jin. His season ERA is 3.62 against a 3.01 FIP, so his results have been worse than his underlying numbers, and over his last five starts the quality has risen further, with a 2.21 FIP, a 0.86 WHIP, a 2.8% walk rate and a 23.9% K-BB% across 28 innings. A season BABIP of .312 and a 64.5% strand rate show he has had some bad luck, so there is room for his results to bounce back. His velocity is not high at 142.3-144.3 km/h on average, but it actually rose to 144.3 (147 top) on September 16. Lotte's Jeremy Beasley has a 5.06 ERA against a 3.67 FIP, a big gap, with a .352 season BABIP and a 67.1% strand rate, so his results are worse than his process. Over his last five starts, however, the FIP is 5.41 with a .301 batting average against and six home runs in 28.2 innings, so the underlying performance has slipped too. His velocity has dropped by about 3 km/h as well, from 152.1 km/h on average (August 25, September 3) to 149.4 and 149.3 on September 10 and 16. Bad luck explains much of his season, but his current form does look to have declined.

The head-to-head samples are small but point in a clear direction. Ryu has faced Lotte twice for 13 innings with a 0.00 ERA and a 0.54 WHIP, winning both starts. His BABIP there is a low .167, so luck played a part, but he did not walk a single batter, which shows his command. Beasley has struggled against Hanwha, with an 8.76 ERA, a 2.03 WHIP and a .439 BABIP over 12.1 innings in three starts and a 1-2 record. Lotte hitters' records against Ryu show Victor Reyes 2-for-6 (.333) and Na Seung-yeup 1-for-3, while Han Dong-hee, Go Seung-min, Jeon Min-jae, Son Seong-bin, Hwang Seong-bin and Jang Du-seong are all hitless. For Hanwha, Kim Tae-yeon is 3-for-6 (.500) and Kang Baek-ho 2-for-5 (.400) against Beasley.

The lineups are moving in opposite directions. Neither side has announced its order, so this uses each team's previous lineup. Lotte is hot over the last five games at .344 with a .420 OBP, with Reyes at .500, Na at .474 and Han Dong-hee at .400 with two home runs. Its season wRC+ is an ordinary 97.4, though, and it has only two home runs over that stretch, so it is more singles than power. Hanwha's season wRC+ is 104.0, higher than Lotte's, and Kang Baek-ho has 32 home runs (130.7 wRC+), but the team has cooled to .217 (.274 OBP) over the last five games, with Park Jung-hyun at .150, Lee Do-yoon at .083 and Yoo Min at .063 especially cold.

The bullpens are far apart. Over the last ten games Lotte's relievers have a 4.46 ERA and Hanwha's a 7.88. The collapse of Hanwha's bullpen looks like a major cause of the eight-game losing streak, and recent workload is 11.3 innings across seven arms for Lotte versus 10.7 across ten for Hanwha, so Hanwha has used more pitchers and has fewer options. On splits, Ryu has a 3.95 ERA at home over 66 innings (3.46 FIP) and 3.29 on the road over 65.2 (2.55 FIP), while Beasley is steady on the road at 3.95 over 68.1 innings but has a poor 6.16 at home over 68.2. He pitches on the road today, which is the better setting for him.

In summary, on the mound alone Ryu clearly has the edge and the gap in recent form is wide. But the biggest variable today is Hanwha's bullpen. If Ryu covers six or seven innings, the game can tilt toward Hanwha, but if a bullpen with a 7.88 ERA cannot protect a lead after him, a Lotte lineup hitting .344 over the last five games is likely to come back. The weight of an eight-game losing streak and whether a Hanwha offense that has cooled to .217 can back up a strong Ryu outing are also worth watching, so how much run support he gets matters as much.