[Sep 23, 2026 (Wed)] KBO Analysis KIA @ Doosan Preview - BeaverStats

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I run a site analyzing KBO data, and here's a quick breakdown of one game.

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Quick preview of KIA @ Doosan (Sep 23, 2026 (Wed)).

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09/23 KIA vs Doosan

KIA starting pitcher: Oller Doosan starting pitcher: Logue

KIA sit 4th at 55.5% on a 3-game win streak, Doosan are 5th at 51.6% on a single win. The standings suggest a close matchup, but the underlying numbers point to a bigger gap.

Away starter Oller carries a strong 2.80 ERA, and his last five starts back it up: 0.79 WHIP and a 22% K-BB% with almost no walk trouble. His velocity has stayed steady at 148-154 km/h across all five outings. His home ERA (1.84) is dramatically better than his road mark (4.70), and today's game is on the road at Jamsil, so that split is worth watching. Against Doosan specifically he's been solid (3.26 ERA), and his most recent start against them (8/16) was 7 scoreless-quality innings with just 1 earned run.

Doosan's Logue has a 3.97 season ERA and has scuffled a bit in his last five starts (5.26 FIP, 1.12 WHIP). What stands out is his personal history against KIA - his ERA vs KIA (3.54) is right around his season average, and he's won his last two starts against them (8/14, 6/27). His velocity (142-144 km/h) is notably slower than Oller's, though, which could matter in a stuff-on-stuff matchup.

The bullpen gap is significant. Doosan's pen ERA over the last 10 games is 5.40 versus KIA's 3.72, and Doosan has also burned through more innings recently (13 IP across 10 pitchers vs. KIA's 10 IP across 5). That workload difference could bite Doosan late in the game.

Offensively, KIA holds the edge in team wRC+ (115.2 vs. 102.2), and their last-5-games form is about even with Doosan's (.367 wOBA vs. .360). Na Sung Bum (28 HR) and Castro (16 HR) lead KIA's power, while Yang Eui Ji (20 HR) and Severino (.490 wOBA over the last 5) stand out for Doosan. Both lineups are carried over from the previous game rather than confirmed.

In summary, KIA holds the edge on both fronts that matter most here - Oller's overall consistency and Doosan's clear bullpen fatigue. Still, Logue's strong recent history specifically against KIA means the early innings could shape how this one goes.