[Sep 23, 2026 (Wed)] KBO Analysis NC @ KT Preview - BeaverStats

Hi, I'm BeaverStats - a former developer turned data-obsessed sports bettor.

I run a site analyzing KBO data, and here's a quick breakdown of one game.

KBO analysis is basically my full-time focus these days.

Quick preview of NC @ KT (Sep 23, 2026 (Wed)).

*Lineups aren't confirmed yet! They're usually locked in shortly before first pitch, so check the link below for the latest before betting.

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09/23 NC vs KT

NC starting pitcher: Riley (Thompson) KT starting pitcher: Logan (Allen)

The gap between 1st-place KT (62.7%, 3-game win streak) and 6th-place NC (46.5%, 8-game losing streak) is as wide as the standings suggest.

Today's starting matchup, though, could cut the other way. Away starter Riley Thompson has a 2.59 ERA and a 7-1 record, and his last five starts have been even more dominant - a 0.68 WHIP, 24.6% K-BB%, and just 6 runs allowed over 34 innings. His career ERA against KT (2.45) is solid too.

KT's Logan Allen has a respectable 3.17 ERA (6-4), but his last five starts have been shakier - a 1.48 WHIP and 3.64 FIP. Interestingly, his home/away split runs backwards: a 2.66 road ERA versus a 4.15 home ERA, meaning he's actually been less consistent at home. His numbers against NC (3.38 ERA) are unremarkable, though he's won both of his career starts against them.

NC may be on an 8-game skid, but they clearly have their best card on the mound tonight. Their bullpen is the bigger concern - a 6.26 ERA over the last 10 games versus KT's 4.95, and NC has burned through far more relief innings recently (14 IP across 11 pitchers vs. KT's 9 IP across 6). If Thompson doesn't go deep, things could get dicey fast.

Offensively, KT has the clear edge. Hilliard (38 HR) is putting up elite power numbers, and An Hyun Min (wRC+ 158.1) and Choi Won Jun (wRC+ 139) are both hitting well across the board. NC has solid bats of their own in Park Kun Woo (20 HR) and Park Min Woo (wRC+ 130), but their team wOBA over the last 5 games (.313) trails KT's .370. Both lineups are carried over from the previous game rather than confirmed.

In summary, KT holds the overall edge as a team, but tonight's starting pitching matchup clearly favors NC's Thompson over Allen's recent form. With NC's bullpen already worn thin, how many innings Thompson can give them may decide whether the losing streak finally ends.