[Sep 24, 2026 (Thu)] KBO Analysis NC @ KT Preview - BeaverStats

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Quick preview of NC @ KT (Sep 24, 2026 (Thu)).

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09/24 NC vs KT

NC starting pitcher: Song Myung-gi KT starting pitcher: Daniel

This is game 2 of a 2-game series, and it comes right after the Dinos blew out the Wiz 10-3 yesterday (9/23). The Wiz sit 1st (62.2%) well ahead of the 6th-place Dinos (46.9%), and the season series clearly favors the Wiz at 10-5 (67%), but KT's last five games were an uneven 3-2 (including a 1-12 blowout loss to LG on 9/18) and they just dropped that game yesterday - so their recent form isn't quite as dominant as the standings suggest. NC snapped a 4-game losing streak with that win but had lost the four before it.

Today's NC starter, Song Myung-gi, doesn't have a big innings sample this season (29.2 IP). His season ERA is 4.85 but his FIP is actually worse at 5.78, meaning results have outpaced the process. His last five outings show a much-improved 3.47 FIP / 0.75 WHIP, though that's over just 12 innings - a small sample. Today's road split (5.66 FIP) is about as rough as his home split (5.85 FIP), so location doesn't offer a clear edge here. His career line vs the Wiz (11.57 ERA / 9.38 FIP) looks brutal, but it's a single 2.1-inning outing, so it's hard to take at face value. Velocity has held roughly steady across his last five starts (146.6 → 144.2 → 146.3 → 145.8 → 145.3 km/h).

On the other side, Daniel's 2.43 season ERA sits well below his 3.06 FIP, suggesting some good fortune baked into the results, and his last five starts have kept a strong 2.72 FIP with solid stuff (12.4% SwStr / 31.4% CSW). His home split (1.5 ERA / 2.51 FIP) - which is where he's pitching today - is a huge step up from his road numbers (4.15 ERA / 4.08 FIP), so the location clearly favors him today. His track record vs NC (3.6 ERA / 5.18 FIP over 5 IP) is a small sample where the FIP running well above the ERA suggests some luck helped him in that particular matchup. Velocity has trended gently upward over his last five outings (144.2 → 144.1 → 144.5 → 145.3 → 145.8 km/h).

KT clearly has the stronger lineup. Their season wOBA of .378 (113.4 wRC+) was already ahead of NC's .358 (110.0 wRC+), and over the last five games KT has gotten even hotter (.406 wOBA) while NC has actually cooled off (.333 wOBA). Both lineups are technically unconfirmed as of writing (using the most recent game as a proxy), but KT's top bats - Ahn Hyun-min (157.1 wRC+) and Hilliard (147.6 wRC+) - remain in good form. On NC's side, Park Min-woo, Blaine, Kim Hwi-jip, and Kwon Hee-dong are all hitless in 1-2 at-bats against Daniel, but those samples are far too small to lean on.

Both bullpens have been shaky lately. NC's pen carries a 6.2 ERA over its last 10 games versus KT's 5.3 - a slight edge for KT, though neither is in good shape - and recent workload (NC 13 IP/10 pitchers, KT 10 IP/9 pitchers) is roughly comparable.

The game is in Suwon with 22.9°C and 0% chance of rain - no weather factor here.

In summary, Daniel's home-split strength combined with KT's hotter recent bats point toward the better setup for the Wiz today, but it's worth remembering NC just blew them out 24 hours ago, and Song Myung-gi's improved recent FIP - small sample aside - shouldn't be dismissed. The biggest swing factor is likely how quickly, if at all, NC's bats can solve Daniel at home.