[Sep 11, 2026 (Fri)] KBO Analysis Kiwoom @ Samsung Preview - BeaverStats

Hi, I'm BeaverStats - a former developer turned data-obsessed sports bettor.

I run a site analyzing KBO data, and here's a quick breakdown of one game.

KBO analysis is basically my full-time focus these days.

Quick preview of Kiwoom @ Samsung (Sep 11, 2026 (Fri)).

*Lineups aren't confirmed yet! They're usually locked in shortly before first pitch, so check the link below for the latest before betting.

The screenshots below are captured straight from the site's data.

You can see the full, more detailed data on the game list.

This post was analyzed/written by AI based on data from beaverstats.com. Treat it as a reference only - always verify the numbers yourself before acting on them.

09/11 Kiwoom vs Samsung

Kiwoom starting pitcher: Jeon Jun-pyo Samsung starting pitcher: Fedek

This is a big gap on paper - the 10th-place Heroes (.357) against the 2nd-place Lions (.608). The season series is just as lopsided, with Samsung up 10-4 (67%), matching the standings.

The starting matchup is even more one-sided. Jeon Jun-pyo has a 4.57 ERA against a much worse 6.08 FIP (7.02 xFIP) - his walk rate (18.5%) and negative K-BB% point to serious command issues, even though his velocity (149-150 km/h) suggests the raw stuff is there. Fedek, by contrast, backs up his 2.92 ERA with a 2.71 FIP, and his last-five numbers have only improved (2.42 FIP, 2.02 xFIP) with a strong 22.8% K-BB%. Swinging-strike and CSW rates tell the same story (6%/22.8% for Jeon vs. 12.9%/32.3% for Fedek) - a clear gap in stuff and command. Neither starter has faced today's opponent before.

Both lineups have actually cooled below their season norms lately. Kiwoom has dropped from a 99.6 wRC+ on the season to a .273 wOBA over the last five games, and Samsung has slipped too, from 123.4 wRC+ to .282 over the same stretch - only Koo Ja-wook (.466 wOBA over his last five) has stayed hot while the rest of the lineup cooled with him. That said, Samsung's offense remains the far stronger of the two on a full-season basis. Both lineups remain unconfirmed and carried over from the previous game.

The bullpen edge also goes to Samsung - a 3.55 ERA over their last 10 games versus 5.73 for Kiwoom, with similar recent workload on both sides (8 innings/6 pitchers for Kiwoom, 10.3 innings/7 for Samsung). The game is in Daegu, with 23.6°C temps and 0% chance of rain - no weather factor.

In summary, aside from both offenses cooling together recently, the standings, head-to-head record, starting matchup, and bullpen all clearly favor Samsung.