[Sep 13, 2026 (Sun)] KBO Analysis Lotte @ KT Preview - BeaverStats

Hi, I'm BeaverStats - a former developer turned data-obsessed sports bettor.

I run a site analyzing KBO data, and here's a quick breakdown of one game.

KBO analysis is basically my full-time focus these days.

Quick preview of Lotte @ KT (Sep 13, 2026 (Sun)).

*Lineups aren't confirmed yet! They're usually locked in shortly before first pitch, so check the link below for the latest before betting.

The screenshots below are captured straight from the site's data.

You can see the full, more detailed data on the game list.

This post was analyzed/written by AI based on data from beaverstats.com. Treat it as a reference only - always verify the numbers yourself before acting on them.

09/13 Lotte @ KT

Lotte starting pitcher: Na Kyun-an KT starting pitcher: So Hyeong-jun

9th-place Lotte (43.8%) visits 1st-place KT (61.7%), and KT's 5-game win streak makes the momentum gap obvious. The season series backs it up too, with KT up 7-5 (.580).

The starting matchup also favors KT. Na Kyun-an has a 4.03 ERA over 120.2 innings this season, and on the road - tonight's assignment - his ERA looks good at 3.16, but his FIP is actually worse at 4.50, so that road number looks more like a product of a favorable strand rate (83.9% LOB% vs. a 76.6% season mark) than real improvement. His last-5-start FIP has also spiked to 5.14, driven by 5 home runs allowed in his last 28.1 innings - about double his season pace - which points to a genuine recent command/stuff issue rather than bad luck. So has a 3.41 ERA over 108.1 innings and is just as steady at home (3.47), and while his last-5-start FIP has risen to 4.51 (also tied to 5 home runs in his last 30 innings, again about double his season rate), his SwStr% and CSW% have held at season levels, so his stuff itself hasn't fallen off.

Head-to-head, So is dominant against Lotte - 2.19 ERA / 1.51 FIP over 2 starts (12.1 IP) - and having FIP back it up suggests this is a real strength, though 2 starts is still a small sample to lean on completely. Na is 4.66 ERA / 5.45 FIP against KT over 2 starts (9.2 IP), both bad, so again with a small sample, this could be a genuinely rough matchup for him.

Both lineups remain unconfirmed, so this reflects the most recent game. Both offenses are hot, but KT more clearly so - Lotte's wOBA is up from .341 to .353 over the last 5 games, while KT has climbed further, from .356 to .383.

The bullpens favor KT (4.98 ERA over the last 10 games) over Lotte (7.53), though KT's own number isn't exactly rock-solid either. Lotte has used slightly more relief work recently (13 IP across 9 pitchers).

In summary, standings, momentum, the starting matchup, recent hitting, and the bullpens all point toward KT here. The biggest swing factor tonight is probably whether Na can rein in the home-run rate that's been climbing for him lately.