[Sep 18, 2026 (Fri)] KBO Analysis Kiwoom @ Doosan Preview - BeaverStats

Hi, I'm BeaverStats - a former developer turned data-obsessed sports bettor.

I run a site analyzing KBO data, and here's a quick breakdown of one game.

KBO analysis is basically my full-time focus these days.

Quick preview of Kiwoom @ Doosan (Sep 18, 2026 (Fri)).

*Lineups aren't confirmed yet! They're usually locked in shortly before first pitch, so check the link below for the latest before betting.

The screenshots below are captured straight from the site's data.

You can see the full, more detailed data on the game list.

This post was analyzed/written by AI based on data from beaverstats.com. Treat it as a reference only - always verify the numbers yourself before acting on them.

9/18 Kiwoom Heroes vs Doosan Bears

Kiwoom Heroes starting pitcher: Raul Alcantara Doosan Bears starting pitcher: Zach Logue

This is already the two teams' 14th meeting this season, and Doosan holds a clear edge at 10-4 (71%). The standings tell a similar story - Kiwoom sits 10th (34.9%) on a 4-game losing streak, while Doosan is 5th (52.0%) riding a 2-game winning streak.

Alcantara, making today's road start, is 9-9 with a 3.68 ERA and a nearly matching 3.64 FIP on the season - results and process are lining up well. His recent velocity trend is especially notable, climbing from the 149 km/h range up to an average 152.4/max 154 in his last outing (9/12), and his last five starts show a strong 12.7% SwStr% and 30.4% CSW%. Looking just at his road splits (the relevant number for tonight), his ERA is 3.93 while his FIP is actually lower at 3.46 - suggesting his results may have lagged his process a bit, possibly tied to a 66.8% LOB% that's well below his season average of 74.6%.

On the other side, Logue is sitting at a similar 3.97 ERA / 4.01 FIP for the season, but his home splits (where he pitches tonight) improve nicely to a 3.44 ERA / 3.35 FIP. His last five starts tell a different story, though - a 4.34 FIP, 62.5% LOB%, and a SwStr% that's dropped to 7.7% from his season mark of 9.1% all point to a rougher recent stretch. With his strong home numbers pulling one way and his shaky recent form pulling the other, it's worth watching which version shows up tonight. Both starters have faced today's opponent just once this season (Alcantara: 6 IP, 1 ER, win; Logue: 5 IP, 2 ER, loss), so treat that head-to-head history as a footnote rather than a real signal.

The lineups show a clear temperature gap. Kiwoom's team wOBA has cooled from .327 this season to .280 over the last five games, while Doosan has actually heated up, going from .330 to .357 with 7 home runs in that stretch. Both lineups are likely just carried over from the previous game rather than freshly confirmed.

The bullpens aren't close either. Kiwoom has already burned through 8 innings across 8 different relievers recently and carries a rough 6.39 ERA over its last 10 games, while Doosan has spread 12 innings across just 6 arms with a much steadier 3.86 ERA.

In summary, Alcantara's rising velocity and sharp recent process are a clearly positive sign for him personally, but elsewhere the gap favors Doosan - a much hotter lineup, a far more rested and effective bullpen, and a lopsided season series. The biggest swing factor tonight is likely how quickly Kiwoom's cold lineup can snap out of its recent funk.