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[Sep 20, 2026 (Sun)] KBO Analysis Kiwoom @ SSG Preview - BeaverStats

2026-09-19

Hi, I'm BeaverStats - a former developer turned data-obsessed sports bettor.

I run a site analyzing KBO data, and here's a quick breakdown of one game.

KBO analysis is basically my full-time focus these days.

Quick preview of Kiwoom @ SSG (Sep 20, 2026 (Sun)).

*Lineups aren't confirmed yet! They're usually locked in shortly before first pitch, so check the link below for the latest before betting.

The screenshots below are captured straight from the site's data.

You can see the full, more detailed data on the game list.

Kiwoom @ SSG starting pitcher comparison Kiwoom @ SSG lineup

This post was analyzed/written by AI based on data from beaverstats.com. Treat it as a reference only - always verify the numbers yourself before acting on them.

09/20 Kiwoom vs SSG

Kiwoom starting pitcher: Ha Young-min SSG starting pitcher: Kim Geon-woo

This is a single game. Kiwoom is dead last (10th, 34.9%) but on a 1-game winning streak, while SSG is 7th (45.2%) riding a 3-game winning streak. The season series is close, with Kiwoom up 8-7.

The starter matchup runs counter to the standings, clearly favoring Ha Young-min. His season line (4.31 ERA / 3.99 FIP) is unremarkable, but his history against SSG specifically (2 starts, 11 innings) is dominant - a 1.84 FIP with a 23.8% K-BB%. His 3.27 ERA in those starts is actually a bit worse than that elite FIP suggests it should be, thanks to a low 44.4% LOB% - stranding runners was the only issue, not his stuff. Kim, on the other hand, has struggled broadly (6.08 ERA / 5.67 FIP), and his numbers against Kiwoom specifically are even worse - a brutal 8.22 ERA / 9.38 FIP over 2 starts (7.2 innings). That shows up individually too: against Kim, Kiwoom's Ahn Chi-hong is 3-for-4 (.750), Kwon Hyeok-bin 2-for-3 (.667), and Park Chan-hyeok 2-for-4 (.500) - several hitters with real success against him. His home split (today's assignment) shows a better 4.78 ERA, but given his history against this specific opponent, it's fair to wonder whether that holds up today.

Both offenses have cooled, but SSG more so. Kiwoom's team wOBA has dropped from .326 to .279 over the last five games, while SSG has fallen further from .334 to .260 - suggesting SSG's win streak has leaned more on pitching and defense than its bats. Both lineups remain unconfirmed and projected from each team's last game.

Kiwoom's bullpen looks steadier - a 4.73 ERA over its last 10 games (9.3 innings, 8 pitchers) compared to SSG's 5.52 over a thinner workload (7 innings, just 3 pitchers), which could mean SSG's relief options are more stretched than usual.

In summary, running against the standings, both the starter matchup - Ha's dominant history against SSG versus Kim's disastrous one against Kiwoom - and the bullpen edge point toward Kiwoom. Kim's home split alone doesn't look bad, but whether his recurring struggles against this specific opponent (and the individual hitters who've had real success against him) show up again today looks like the biggest swing factor in this game.