[Sep 24, 2026 (Thu)] KBO Analysis Samsung @ SSG Preview - BeaverStats

Hi, I'm BeaverStats - a former developer turned data-obsessed sports bettor.

I run a site analyzing KBO data, and here's a quick breakdown of one game.

KBO analysis is basically my full-time focus these days.

Quick preview of Samsung @ SSG (Sep 24, 2026 (Thu)).

*Lineups aren't confirmed yet! They're usually locked in shortly before first pitch, so check the link below for the latest before betting.

The screenshots below are captured straight from the site's data.

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This post was analyzed/written by AI based on data from beaverstats.com. Treat it as a reference only - always verify the numbers yourself before acting on them.

09/24 Samsung vs SSG

Samsung starting pitcher: Hurado SSG starting pitcher: Kim Min-jun

The gap in the standings between 2nd-place Samsung (59.7%) and 7th-place SSG (45.3%) roughly tracks their recent form too. The season series slightly favors the Lions at 8-6 (57%), and this is game 1 of a 2-game set.

Today's road starter, Hurado, has a 3.15 season ERA against a somewhat higher 3.98 FIP, putting him in results-ahead-of-process territory. His last five starts carry a 4.38 FIP, a bit worse than his season number, so his recent process has slipped slightly - but today's location is a big variable. His road split (2.37 ERA / 2.86 FIP over 64.2 IP) is a completely different pitcher from his home split (3.98 ERA / 5.17 FIP), so today's road start could matter more than the recent dip. His numbers vs the Landers (2.7 ERA / 3.63 FIP over 20 IP) are solid and backed by a reasonably meaningful sample. Velocity has stayed fairly stable across his last five outings (146.8 → 146.6 → 147.8 → 145.4 → 147.3 km/h).

On the other side, Kim Min-jun also shows results ahead of process (3.47 ERA vs 4.15 FIP season), but interestingly his home/road splits run the opposite direction from Hurado's - his road split (2.87 ERA / 3.03 FIP) is much better than his home split (3.92 ERA / 5.00 FIP), so pitching at home today, as he is, works against him. His line vs the Lions (1.5 ERA over 6 IP) looks great but is far too small a sample to lean on. Velocity has drifted gently downward over his last five starts (145 → 145.5 → 144.6 → 144 → 143.8 km/h), which is worth watching alongside the results.

Samsung's lineup holds a clear edge, with a season wOBA of .388 (122.9 wRC+) well above SSG's .348 (104.7 wRC+); over the last five games Samsung has cooled a bit to .362 wOBA but still sits above SSG's .346. Koo Ja-wook (172.4 wRC+ this season) is 1-for-3 against Kim Min-jun and Jeon Byeong-woo is 2-for-2, while on the SSG side Park Sung-han (3-for-10, .300) and Heredia (4-for-8, .500) have posted decent numbers against Hurado over a more meaningful sample - so it's not a completely one-sided matchup at the plate.

Both bullpens have been shaky recently. Samsung's road pen carries a 5.79 ERA over its last 10 games versus SSG's 5.23 - a slight edge for SSG, though neither is in great shape - and recent workload (Samsung 10.7 IP/9 pitchers, SSG 8.3 IP/7 pitchers) is similar.

The game is at Munhak with 23.1°C and 0% chance of rain - no weather factor to note.

In summary, Hurado's strong road split combined with Samsung's better overall lineup point toward a slight edge for the Lions, but Kim Min-jun hasn't been bad in his (small) sample vs Samsung, and some of SSG's top bats have real track records against Hurado, so this isn't a lopsided matchup. The biggest swing factor is likely whether each starter's home/road split holds up as usual - Hurado away from home, and Kim Min-jun despite being at home today, where he's typically weaker.