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[Sep 26, 2026 (Sat)] KBO Analysis Kiwoom @ KT Preview - BeaverStats

2026-09-25

Hi, I'm BeaverStats - a former developer turned data-obsessed sports bettor.

I run a site analyzing KBO data, and here's a quick breakdown of one game.

KBO analysis is basically my full-time focus these days.

Quick preview of Kiwoom @ KT (Sep 26, 2026 (Sat)).

*Lineups aren't confirmed yet! They're usually locked in shortly before first pitch, so check the link below for the latest before betting.

The screenshots below are captured straight from the site's data.

You can see the full, more detailed data on the game list.

Kiwoom @ KT starting pitcher comparison Kiwoom @ KT lineup

This post was analyzed/written by AI based on data from beaverstats.com. Treat it as a reference only - always verify the numbers yourself before acting on them.

09/26 Kiwoom vs KT

Kiwoom starting pitcher: An Woo Jin KT starting pitcher: Ko Young Pyo

This is a one-off game (1 of 1) between 1st-place KT (.625) and 10th-place Kiwoom (.344), a wide gap in the standings. Kiwoom is 0-4-1 over its last five games, on a two-game losing streak, and has won just 28% of its road games. KT beat NC 3-2 yesterday and has won 64% at home. KT also dominates the season series 10-3.

The pitching matchup, though, is close. An Woo Jin is 3-8, but his 3.65 ERA, 3.14 FIP and 13% SwStr% say he has pitched far better than his record. His velocity is still there, averaging 152-155 km/h and topping out at 160. Over his last five starts, however, his K-BB% has fallen to 9.8%, about half of his 18.5% season mark, and his walk rate has risen to 9%, pushing his FIP up to 3.71. His road numbers (4.60 ERA, 3.99 FIP over 45 innings) are also worse than at home (2.89 ERA, 2.46 FIP over 56). He has pitched well against KT (3.00 ERA, 2.06 FIP in three starts, 12 innings) yet took the loss all three times.

Ko Young Pyo has a 3.54 ERA and 3.15 FIP, with outstanding control (3.2% walk rate) and a strong 22.5% K-BB%. His last five starts have been good too (2.99 FIP, 0.93 WHIP). Outside of a 7-run, 3-inning start against Hanwha on 9/3, he allowed one earned run or fewer in 6-7 innings in each of the other four. The problem is Kiwoom. In three starts (16.1 innings) against them he has a 5.51 ERA and 6.57 FIP, and has allowed five home runs, a third of his season total of 15. That is despite a lucky .205 BABIP in those games.

Neither lineup is confirmed yet, so these are based on each team's previous game. KT's offense is clearly hot, with a .404 team wOBA over the last five games, well above its .354 season mark. Sam Hilliard (39 HR) has three homers and a .563 wOBA in that span, and Choi Won Jun (.465) and Ryu Hyun In (.545) are also swinging well. Ahn Hyun Min (154.9 wRC+ on the season), however, is slumping at .231. Kiwoom's team wOBA over the last five (.324) is in line with its season mark (.322), but it has hit seven home runs in those games. Park Chan Hyeok is the hottest bat (two homers, .491 wOBA over the last five), and Matthew Davidson (21 HR) has also homered twice in that stretch. Most individual head-to-head samples are six at-bats or fewer, so treat them as reference only.

Both bullpens are shaky and nearly identical, with a 6.03 ERA over the last 10 games for Kiwoom and 6.06 for KT. Recent usage is similar at 11.3 innings for Kiwoom and 10 for KT. The rain chance in Suwon is just 2%, so weather is not a factor.

In summary, KT dominates on standings and head-to-head record, but the starting matchup is even, with both An and Ko carrying low-3s FIPs on the season, and both bullpens are unreliable. KT has the edge in lineup form. The biggest swing factor is whether Ko Young Pyo can avoid the long ball against a Kiwoom lineup that has taken him deep unusually often this year, especially Park Chan Hyeok and Davidson, who have been homering lately.