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[Oct 16, 2026 (Fri)] KHL Analysis Spartak @ Admiral Preview - BeaverStats

2026-10-16

This is an KHL analysis post written by AI.

Quick preview of Spartak @ Admiral (Oct 16, 2026 (Fri)).

*Written before starting goalies and lineups were confirmed! They can change right before puck drop, so check the link below for the latest data.

You can see the full, more detailed data on the game list.

This post was analyzed/written by AI based on data from beaverstats.com. Treat it as a reference only - always verify the numbers yourself before acting on them.

Spartak @ Admiral

Spartak projected starting goalie: Ivan Fedotov @ Admiral projected starting goalie: Nikita Boyarkin

The gap between 52.7 and 43.6 in 5v5 xG% decides this one, unless Boyarkin's home numbers close it.

Spartak holds the edge. Their 5v5 xG% this season is 52.7 over 15 games, against 43.6 for Admiral over 14, a 9.1-point gap. Spartak is 8-5 with 2 overtime losses and a 38-29 goal difference. Admiral is 5-6 with 3 overtime losses and 35-39. Their 5v5 goals are closer than xG suggests: 20-20 for Spartak, 22-19 for Admiral.

Both goalies are projected and unconfirmed. Fedotov has a .940 SV% and +3.5 GSAx in 6 road starts over two seasons, going 5-1. This season he is .922, +0.5, 6-5. Boyarkin has a .898 SV% and -6.5 GSAx at home in 11 games, going 3-5. This season he is .920, +2.1, 2-2, but his last five games total -1.4 GSAx, including 3 goals allowed last time.

Spartak has won three straight, allowing one or two goals in its last two road games. Admiral has won one straight, beating Rada 4-3 in overtime.

If Zagidulin starts for Spartak, he brings +2.8 GSAx over five games this season and +3.8 on the road. If Kulbakov starts for Admiral, he is +2.1 this season but -7.0 at home.

In summary, Spartak leads on 5v5 play. Admiral's home goaltending numbers are weak whichever goalie plays, so the question is whether this season's better form holds at home.