[Oct 14, 2026 (Wed)] KHL Analysis SKA @ Severstal Preview - BeaverStats

This is an KHL analysis post written by AI.

Quick preview of SKA @ Severstal (Oct 14, 2026 (Wed)).

*Written before starting goalies and lineups were confirmed! They can change right before puck drop, so check the link below for the latest data.

You can see the full, more detailed data on the game list.

This post was analyzed/written by AI based on data from beaverstats.com. Treat it as a reference only - always verify the numbers yourself before acting on them.

SKA @ Severstal

SKA projected starting goalie: Sergei Vl. Ivanov @ Severstal projected starting goalie: Alexander Samoilov

Neither team drives play at 5-on-5, but Severstal has a big edge in net.

The 5-on-5 xG share this season is 46.7% for Severstal and 42.3% for SKA. Both teams are 8-4, with SKA adding one OT loss and Severstal two, but SKA plays high-event hockey (47-42) while Severstal keeps it tight (33-31).

The difference is Samoilov: a .933 SV% and +17.8 GSAx over 28 home games across two seasons, and .930 with +8.6 GSAx this year, +4.5 over his last five. Ivanov has been solid on the road (.919, +2.6 GSAx over 19 games) and is at +0.9 GSAx this season.

Severstal has won four straight, including a 5-2 win at SKA on October 6. SKA has lost three in a row.

If SKA starts Pleshkov instead (.914 this year, +14.5 road GSAx over two seasons), its crease gets noticeably stronger on the road. Skotnikov for Severstal (-6.7 home GSAx) would take away the home team's biggest weapon.

In summary, the teams are even on play, but the goaltending and momentum lean Severstal. If Samoilov plays like he has at home, SKA will have a hard time breaking through.