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[Oct 16, 2026 (Fri)] KHL Analysis Avtomobilist @ Avangard Preview - BeaverStats

2026-10-16

This is an KHL analysis post written by AI.

Quick preview of Avtomobilist @ Avangard (Oct 16, 2026 (Fri)).

*Written before starting goalies and lineups were confirmed! They can change right before puck drop, so check the link below for the latest data.

You can see the full, more detailed data on the game list.

This post was analyzed/written by AI based on data from beaverstats.com. Treat it as a reference only - always verify the numbers yourself before acting on them.

Avtomobilist @ Avangard

Avtomobilist projected starting goalie: Evgeny Alikin @ Avangard projected starting goalie: Nikita Serebryakov

Avtomobilist lead at 5v5, but Avangard's goalie numbers over a longer sample are the stronger ones.

This season's 5v5 xG% is 54.9 for Avtomobilist (14 games) and 50.5 for Avangard (13 games), a gap of 4.3 points. Avtomobilist are 6-6 with 2 OT losses, goals 35-36, 5v5 goals 23-22. Avangard are 6-7 with no OT losses, goals 22-34, 5v5 goals 13-15.

Alikin has a .917 SV%, -4.6 GSAx and an 8-11 record in 21 road games across last season and this one. This season: 9 games, .926, -1.5 GSAx, 5-4, with -0.1 GSAx over his last five and a shutout in his previous outing. Serebryakov has a .922 SV%, +6.5 GSAx and a 19-9 record in 32 home games on the same basis. This season: .918, +1.3 GSAx, 4-5, with +0.8 over his last five and four goals allowed last time.

Both teams are on a one-game losing streak: Avtomobilist lost 1-4 at Astana, Avangard 1-5 at Astana. In a small head-to-head sample, Avtomobilist won 4-0 most recently after a 2-3 OT loss.

Neither goalie is confirmed. If Vladimir Galkin starts, he has a .926 SV%, +2.3 GSAx and 1-3 this season, with +5.9 road GSAx. If Ivan Prosvetov starts, he has .940, +1.4 GSAx and 2-2 this season, with +0.8 home GSAx.

In summary, Avtomobilist hold the 5v5 edge, while Serebryakov has the better long-run goalie numbers. With both teams on a losing streak, the confirmed goalies are the key.