[Oct 20, 2026 (Tue)] KHL Analysis Torpedo @ Severstal Preview - BeaverStats

This is an KHL analysis post written by AI.

Quick preview of Torpedo @ Severstal (Oct 20, 2026 (Tue)).

*Written before starting goalies and lineups were confirmed! They can change right before puck drop, so check the link below for the latest data.

You can see the full, more detailed data on the game list.

This post was analyzed/written by AI based on data from beaverstats.com. Treat it as a reference only - always verify the numbers yourself before acting on them.

Torpedo @ Severstal

Torpedo projected starting goalie: Denis Kostin @ Severstal projected starting goalie: Alexander Samoilov

Torpedo hold the 5v5 edge on the road, but Severstal have a home goalie at +18.0 GSAx.

Torpedo's 5v5 xG% is 53.3 over 15 games, with a 10-4-1 record and goals 45-29 (31-20 at 5v5). Severstal sit at 47.6 over 16 games, 10-4-2, goals 40-33 (25-21 at 5v5). That is a 5.7-point xG% gap. The power play is 23.7% for Torpedo and 14.0% for Severstal; the penalty kill is 80.6% and 82.2%.

Both goalies are extreme. Kostin: 28 road games, .932 SV%, +17.5 GSAx, 15-9 in starts. This season: 10 games, .928, +2.3, 4-4. Last five GSAx: +1.1; he allowed 3 last time. Samoilov: 29 home games, .933, +18.0, 16-10. This season: 12 games, .929, +8.8, 7-4. Last five GSAx: +3.3; he allowed 2 last time.

Severstal are on a five-game winning streak, last beating Yaroslavl 5-2. Torpedo have won one straight, 5-4 over Moscow Dynamo. Severstal won the Oct. 8 meeting 3-2.

Neither starter is confirmed. If Torpedo go with Shugayev: 5 games, .926, +0.7, 4-1 this season, but -3.3 GSAx on the road. If Severstal use Skotnikov: 6 games, .939, +1.6, 3-1 this season, but -4.8 GSAx at home.

In summary, Torpedo lead in 5v5 xG% and power play. The key is whether Severstal, riding five straight wins, can close that gap with Samoilov's home numbers. The goalie confirmations could shift the picture.