← Back to list

[Oct 21, 2026 (Wed)] KHL Analysis Neftekhimik @ Lokomotiv Preview - BeaverStats

2026-10-20

This is an KHL analysis post written by AI.

Quick preview of Neftekhimik @ Lokomotiv (Oct 21, 2026 (Wed)).

*Written before starting goalies and lineups were confirmed! They can change right before puck drop, so check the link below for the latest data.

You can see the full, more detailed data on the game list.

This post was analyzed/written by AI based on data from beaverstats.com. Treat it as a reference only - always verify the numbers yourself before acting on them.

Neftekhimik @ Lokomotiv

Neftekhimik projected starting goalie: Filipp Dolganov @ Lokomotiv projected starting goalie: Daniil A. Isayev

This game comes down to Lokomotiv's 9.9-point edge in 5v5 xG% and the gap in net, where Isayev carries a home GSAx of +16.4.

Lokomotiv sits at 60.9 in 5v5 xG% this season over 16 games, against 51.0 for Neftekhimik over 17. Lokomotiv is 12-4 with a 46-31 goal difference. Neftekhimik is 9-6 with two overtime losses and a 51-44 goal difference. At 5v5, goals are 25-20 for Lokomotiv and 31-30 for Neftekhimik.

Both goalies are projected, not confirmed. Dolganov has a .923 SV% and +4.8 GSAx in 31 road games over the last two seasons, but his team is 12-16 in his starts, so he has done his part without much help. This season he is at .914 and -1.5 GSAx in nine games. Isayev has a .935 SV% and +16.4 GSAx in 36 home games, with a 25-6 record. His last five games total -1.9 GSAx, though, and he allowed four goals last time out.

Neftekhimik lost 4-1 at CSKA and is on a one-game losing streak. Lokomotiv won 6-3 at Sochi and is on a one-game win streak.

If the goalies change, Ozolin would give Neftekhimik a .936 SV% and +3.0 GSAx in eight starts this season, but his road GSAx is -7.5. Melnichuk would give Lokomotiv a .889 SV% in three starts, and his home GSAx is -2.7.

In summary, the 5v5 numbers and the home crease both favor Lokomotiv. The key is whether Isayev's recent dip continues and whether Neftekhimik's goalie can offset his home record.