[Oct 21, 2026 (Wed)] KHL Analysis Sibir @ Dynamo Msk Preview - BeaverStats

2026-10-20

This is an KHL analysis post written by AI.

Quick preview of Sibir @ Dynamo Msk (Oct 21, 2026 (Wed)).

*Written before starting goalies and lineups were confirmed! They can change right before puck drop, so check the link below for the latest data.

You can see the full, more detailed data on the game list.

This post was analyzed/written by AI based on data from beaverstats.com. Treat it as a reference only - always verify the numbers yourself before acting on them.

Sibir @ Dynamo Msk

Sibir projected starting goalie: Anton Krasotkin @ Dynamo Msk projected starting goalie: Vladislav Podyapolsky

Dynamo has the better chances. Sibir has the better goaltending numbers.

This season's 5v5 xG% is 56.3 for Dynamo and 43.4 for Sibir, a 12.9-point gap. The results don't match. Dynamo is 7-10-2 in 19 games with a 39-53 goal difference and 18-30 at 5v5. Sibir is 6-8-3 in 17 games, 37-48 overall and 25-31 at 5v5.

The gap shows up in goal. Krasotkin has a .927 SV% and +8.9 GSAx in 26 road games, yet his record is 7-11. He has done his part and the team hasn't helped. This season he is 1-6 with a .926 SV% and +2.2 GSAx in seven games, +1.9 GSAx over his last five. Podyapolsky is at .895 and -10.8 GSAx in 28 home games, 7-13. This season it is .901 and -1.7 GSAx over 13 games, and his last five come to -4.7. He allowed four goals last time out.

Sibir lost 0-1 to Astana on the 17th, a one-game losing streak, after winning three straight on the road. Dynamo beat Lada 2-1 in a shootout on the 18th, a one-game winning streak, after losses to Nizhny Novgorod and CSKA.

If a goalie changes, both are only projected. Mikhail Berdin for Sibir has a .919 SV% and -0.9 GSAx in 10 games this season, 5-3, with +6.7 road GSAx. Maxim Motorygin for Dynamo has a .889 SV% and -2.9 GSAx in six games this season, 0-4, with +8.0 home GSAx.

In summary, Dynamo has a clear 5v5 edge, but its home goalie's GSAx has eaten into it. With Krasotkin in goal, Sibir has a path. The key is how many of Dynamo's chances turn into goals.