[Oct 22, 2026 (Thu)] KHL Analysis Dragons @ Severstal Preview - BeaverStats

This is an KHL analysis post written by AI.

Quick preview of Dragons @ Severstal (Oct 22, 2026 (Thu)).

*Written before starting goalies and lineups were confirmed! They can change right before puck drop, so check the link below for the latest data.

You can see the full, more detailed data on the game list.

This post was analyzed/written by AI based on data from beaverstats.com. Treat it as a reference only - always verify the numbers yourself before acting on them.

Dragons @ Severstal

Dragons projected starting goalie: Amir Miftakhov @ Severstal projected starting goalie: Alexander Samoilov

The Dragons hold a slight edge in this season's 5v5 play, but Samoilov in the Severstal net decides how much of it survives.

Early in the season, so blending in last year, 5v5 xG% reads Dragons 46.3 and Severstal 50.5. This season alone it flips: Dragons 48.4 over 15 games, Severstal 47.1 over 17. Severstal is 11-4-2 with a 44-34 goal difference. The Dragons are 9-4-2 at 45-40. At 5v5, goals are 29-21 for Severstal and 24-21 for the Dragons.

The goalies separate them more. Samoilov has a .934 SV% and +19.2 GSAx in 30 home games, 17-10 as a starter, and .932 and +10.0 this season. Miftakhov is .912 and +0.4 in six road games, and .906 and -0.6 this season, though his last five are +2.7.

Severstal has won five straight, most recently 4-1. The Dragons won 5-2 at Sochi but lost 2-6 and 2-3 in OT before that. The Dragons are 1-4 in the last five meetings.

Neither starter is confirmed. If Khomchenko starts for the Dragons, he is .931 with +1.7 GSAx this season and +4.9 on the road. If Skotnikov replaces Samoilov, he is .939 and +1.6 this season but -4.8 GSAx at home. A Samoilov absence would narrow the home goaltending edge considerably.

In summary, 5v5 play is close this season, and the gap is in goal. With Samoilov starting, the Dragons would struggle to turn any xG edge into goals. The confirmed starters are the key.