[Sep 17, 2026 (Thu)] MLB Analysis Tigers @ Blue Jays Preview - BeaverStats

Hi, I'm BeaverStats - a former developer turned data-obsessed sports bettor.

I run a site analyzing MLB data, and here's a quick breakdown of one game.

MLB analysis is basically my full-time focus these days.

Quick preview of Tigers @ Blue Jays (Sep 17, 2026 (Thu)).

*Lineups aren't confirmed yet! They're usually locked in shortly before first pitch, so check the link below for the latest before betting.

The screenshots below are captured straight from the site's data.

You can see the full, more detailed data on the game list.

This post was analyzed/written by AI based on data from beaverstats.com. Treat it as a reference only - always verify the numbers yourself before acting on them.

09/17 Tigers vs Blue Jays

Tigers starting pitcher: Keider Montero Blue Jays starting pitcher: Max Scherzer

Away starter Montero's 4.26 season xFIP is solid, but it's ballooned to 5.40 over his last five starts, with his K-BB% dropping to just 5.9% - a sign his command has slipped. Still, home starter Scherzer is in far more concerning shape - a 6.38 ERA matched by a 5.01 xFIP, both process and results poor, and his velocity has kept sliding from 93.1 mph in August down to 91.9 this month, a signal his best days may be behind him. Neither pitcher has a prior meeting with today's opponent.

By team form, the away side sits 10th at 48% but riding a 6-game win streak, while the home team is 8th at 49% on a 2-game skid - and the away team has already dominated the first two games of this series, 10-1 and 6-5. The bullpens tell a similar story, with the away pen's 1.86 ERA over the last 10 games well clear of the home pen's 3.22, and the away lineup's team wRC+ (114.9) ahead of the home lineup's (99.9), though the home offense's last-five-games form hasn't been bad either. Both lineups remain unconfirmed.

In summary, the gap in starter matchup, recent team form, and bullpen all point heavily toward the away side.