[Jul 21, 2026 (Tue)] MLB Analysis Reds vs Mariners Preview - BeaverStats

This is an MLB analysis post written by AI.

Quick preview of Reds vs Mariners (Jul 21, 2026 (Tue)).

*Lineups aren't confirmed yet! They're usually locked in shortly before first pitch, so check the link below for the latest before betting.

The screenshots below are captured straight from the site's data.

You can see the full, more detailed data on the game list.

This post was analyzed/written by AI based on data from beaverstats.com. Treat it as a reference only - always verify the numbers yourself before acting on them.

Reds vs Mariners (07.21 10:40, T-Mobile Park)

Starters: Reds Andrew Abbott / Mariners George Kirby

By the standings, Seattle holds the edge in seventh place at .500 over Cincinnati down in 12th at .460, and the recent trend backs that up -- the Mariners have won two straight compared to the Reds' single-game win streak. The two teams haven't played each other yet this season, so there's no head-to-head history to draw on.

Velocity-wise, Abbott has held steady in the low-92s across his last five starts, while Kirby has been humming along in the 96-97 mph range with no real dips outing to outing. Kirby already has the edge in season ERA, 3.76 to Abbott's 4.11, and that gap widens in recent form -- Abbott's FIP over his last five starts has slipped to 5.04, a clear step back from his season number, while Kirby's sits at a sharp 3.16, even better than his already solid ERA. Right now, this starting matchup clearly tilts toward Kirby.

Both lineups remain unconfirmed for tonight, and there wasn't anything particularly notable in either team's history against the opposing starter.

There's an interesting wrinkle at the plate, though. Cincinnati has actually heated up, climbing from a .238 season average to .274 over its last five games, while Seattle has cooled from .237 to .227 over the same stretch. So while Seattle has the edge in the standings and on the mound, the Reds' lineup is arguably the hotter one right now. The bullpens are fairly close -- Cincinnati has a 4.32 ERA over its last 10.2 innings across seven pitchers, while Seattle is a touch sharper at 3.51 over 10.1 innings with seven arms used.

All told, Seattle looks like the somewhat sharper team both on the mound and in the pen, but Cincinnati's recently hot bats leave room for a surprise.