[Jul 22, 2026 (Wed)] MLB Analysis Pirates vs Yankees Preview - BeaverStats

This is an MLB analysis post written by AI.

Quick preview of Pirates vs Yankees (Jul 22, 2026 (Wed)).

*Lineups aren't confirmed yet! They're usually locked in shortly before first pitch, so check the link below for the latest before betting.

The screenshots below are captured straight from the site's data.

You can see the full, more detailed data on the game list.

This post was analyzed/written by AI based on data from beaverstats.com. Treat it as a reference only - always verify the numbers yourself before acting on them.

Pirates vs Yankees (07.22 08:05, Yankee Stadium)

Starters: Pirates Bubba Chandler / Yankees Will Warren

On paper the Yankees hold a clear edge. They sit second in the AL with a .560 winning percentage and have won two straight, while the Pirates are down at sixth with a .520 mark and just snapped their winning streak with a loss. The season series also favors New York, who lead 1-0 in head-to-head meetings, so the standings and the recent matchup history point the same direction.

The starting pitching tells a different story, though. Warren's fastball has sat flat around 93 mph over his last five outings (93.5, 93.9, 93.2, 93.0, 93.1), while Chandler has been sitting comfortably in the high 90s and actually bumped his velocity back up to 98.8 in his most recent start.

Season ERA favors Warren on the surface (4.03 to Chandler's 4.77), but that flips once you look at recent form. Warren's FIP over his last five starts has ballooned to 6.26 as the walks and homers have piled up, while Chandler's sits at 4.73, actually better than his season mark. Based purely on recent trajectory, Chandler looks like the sharper arm heading into this one.

Neither lineup is officially locked in yet, so both are projected off their last games, but the Pirates' bats look considerably hotter. New York is hitting just .238 as a team with barely a bump to .242 over the last five games, while Pittsburgh has climbed from .270 to .287 over that same stretch.

The bullpen picture swings back toward the Yankees. Their relief corps has logged more innings recently (15.3) but with a sharp 2.63 ERA, while Pittsburgh's pen has been shakier at 4.46.

Put it all together and the Yankees still hold the edge in overall team strength and bullpen depth, but tonight's starting matchup actually favors Chandler on recent form, and Pittsburgh's lineup is heating up at the right time — enough variables here that this isn't as clean a Yankees favorite as the standings alone would suggest.