[Jul 23, 2026 (Thu)] MLB Analysis Dodgers vs Phillies Preview - BeaverStats

This is an MLB analysis post written by AI.

Quick preview of Dodgers vs Phillies (Jul 23, 2026 (Thu)).

*Lineups aren't confirmed yet! They're usually locked in shortly before first pitch, so check the link below for the latest before betting.

The screenshots below are captured straight from the site's data.

You can see the full, more detailed data on the game list.

This post was analyzed/written by AI based on data from beaverstats.com. Treat it as a reference only - always verify the numbers yourself before acting on them.

Dodgers vs Phillies (07.23 07:40, Citizens Bank Park)

Starters: Dodgers Eric Lauer / Phillies Aaron Nola

There is a clear gap in overall strength here. The Dodgers are the best team in baseball at 63% and riding a winning streak, while the Phillies sit 5th at 55% coming off a loss - LA holds a clear standings edge, and the season series (3-2 in the Dodgers favor) tracks along similar lines. Velocity-wise, Nola has trended gently upward from 91.1 to 92.3, while Lauer has been up and down between 88.5 and 92.1 but hit a solid 91.5 in his last outing. Neither starter season ERA is pretty - Nola sits at 5.68, Lauer a bit better at 4.81 - and Nola home number balloons to 6.50, which is concerning given he is pitching at home tonight. More worrying is the recent form: Nola FIP over his last five starts is 5.84, actually worse than his season ERA, suggesting his stuff has gotten worse rather than better lately, while Lauer recent FIP (5.32) is holding roughly at his season level but still rough. Neither starter has a meaningful track record against tonights opponent, and neither lineup is confirmed yet. The bats are pulling in opposite directions - Philadelphia has ticked up from .247 to .252 over the last five games, while the Dodgers have cooled sharply from .263 to .201, unusually quiet for the leagues top team. The bullpens also diverge: LA relievers have been fresh and sharp, just 5.3 innings of work at a 3.38 ERA recently, while Philadelphia pen has logged a heavier 10.7 innings at a shakier 5.85. Put it together and both starters look worse recently than their season numbers suggest, so this game could turn into more of a slugfest than expected. Still, with the Dodgers ahead in overall record, head-to-head history, and bullpen freshness, the main question mark is their quiet recent bats - overall the edge tilts slightly toward LA.