[Jul 23, 2026 (Thu)] MLB Analysis Mets vs Brewers Preview - BeaverStats

This is an MLB analysis post written by AI.

Quick preview of Mets vs Brewers (Jul 23, 2026 (Thu)).

*Lineups aren't confirmed yet! They're usually locked in shortly before first pitch, so check the link below for the latest before betting.

The screenshots below are captured straight from the site's data.

You can see the full, more detailed data on the game list.

This post was analyzed/written by AI based on data from beaverstats.com. Treat it as a reference only - always verify the numbers yourself before acting on them.

Mets vs Brewers (07.23 03:10, American Family Field)

Starters: Mets Christian Scott / Brewers Logan Henderson

On paper this looks lopsided - Milwaukee sits 2nd in the NL at 63-38 (62%), well ahead of the Mets at 13th with a 43-59 mark (42%). But recent form flips that script, with New York on a one-game winning streak and Milwaukee having just dropped its last one. The season series is even tighter than the records suggest, tied 1-1 head-to-head, so this is not quite the mismatch the standings imply. Velocity-wise, Scott has sat in the 95-96 mph range (95.1, 96.1, 96.3, 94.9, 95.2) while Henderson has been locked in around 93 (93.0, 93.3, 93.2, 93.1, 93.3), giving Scott a slight edge in raw stuff. Both starters have been excellent by ERA - Scott at 2.87, Henderson at 2.97, essentially a wash. The FIP split over the last five starts tells a different story, though: Scott has ballooned to 4.79 over 23.2 innings, a notable step back from his season number, while Henderson has held at 3.34 across 25.1 innings, right in line with his ERA. That gives Henderson the edge in recent form. Neither lineup is officially locked in yet, so both are running on holdover cards. Both lineups have cooled at the plate, but Milwaukee drop is steeper - from a .265 season mark down to .212 over the last five games, versus New York sliding from .252 to .223. The bullpens favor the Mets somewhat, with New York relievers posting a 3.94 ERA over 8.2 innings compared to Milwaukee shakier 4.65 over 13.1 innings. Put it together and while Milwaukee holds the clear edge in the standings, the tied season series and Henderson-over-Scott form gap suggest this one could be closer than the records alone would indicate.