[Jul 25, 2026 (Sat)] MLB Analysis Reds vs Cardinals Preview - BeaverStats

This is an MLB analysis post written by AI.

Quick preview of Reds vs Cardinals (Jul 25, 2026 (Sat)).

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Reds vs Cardinals (07.25 09:15, Busch Stadium)

Starters: Reds Rhett Lowder / Cardinals Dustin May

St. Louis sits 7th with a .520 winning percentage, well clear of Cincinnati’s 12th-place .470, and the Cardinals have also dominated the season series 4-1. Both clubs are trending up in the short term, though, Cincinnati has won two straight, St. Louis one, so this is really two teams near the bottom of the standings both looking to build on some momentum.

Lowder’s velocity has been steady (93.4, 93.2, 92.6, 92.8, 93.2 mph), while May is working with noticeably more raw stuff (96.6-96.9-95.5-97.6-96.9). Season ERA isn’t pretty for either, Lowder at 5.75, May at 4.78, and the last-five-start FIP numbers (Lowder 4.39, May 4.45) come with a caveat: both pitchers have combined for only around 14-16 innings over those five outings, so the sample is thin enough that these shouldn’t be read too confidently.

Lowder does have a scoreless 3-inning outing against St. Louis back on June 8, though again that’s too small a sample to lean on heavily.

Neither lineup is confirmed yet for tonight.

Both offenses have cooled recently, but St. Louis more so, Cincinnati’s average has slipped from .246 to .224 over the last five games, while the Cardinals have dropped further, from .255 to .215, making the home team’s bats the bigger concern of the two. St. Louis does hold a clear bullpen edge, though, at 3.28 ERA over 8 innings compared to Cincinnati’s 5.97 over 8.1.

Standings, head-to-head history, and bullpen depth all point toward St. Louis, but with both starters working from small recent samples and the Cardinals’ own bats cooling off, this doesn’t look like a lock either way.