[Jul 26, 2026 (Sun)] MLB Analysis Padres vs Marlins Preview - BeaverStats

This is an MLB analysis post written by AI.

Quick preview of Padres vs Marlins (Jul 26, 2026 (Sun)).

*Lineups aren't confirmed yet! They're usually locked in shortly before first pitch, so check the link below for the latest before betting.

The screenshots below are captured straight from the site's data.

You can see the full, more detailed data on the game list.

This post was analyzed/written by AI based on data from beaverstats.com. Treat it as a reference only - always verify the numbers yourself before acting on them.

Padres vs Marlins (07.26 05:10, loanDepot Park)

Starters: Padres JP Sears / Marlins Eury Perez

The standings look close -- Miami sits 9th at 51%, San Diego 11th at 49% -- but the recent form couldn't be more different. The Marlins are mired in a nine-game losing streak, while the Padres are on a milder two-game skid. Neither team is hot, but Miami's slide is far deeper. The two sides haven't met yet this season, so there's no season series to draw on.

On the mound, Perez's 3.53 ERA is clearly the better of the two, with Sears sitting at 4.38. The velocity readings back up Perez's edge -- he's still sitting around 98 mph in his recent outings, elite stuff by any measure -- while Sears has held steady in the low-93s.

The gap widens further in recent FIP. Perez has thrown 29 innings over his last five starts with a sharp 2.93 FIP, actually outperforming his season ERA. Sears, meanwhile, has posted a 5.09 FIP over 24.2 innings, a step back from his season number. Individually, Perez looks to be pitching about as well as anyone regardless of what's happening around him.

Both lineups remain unconfirmed, still carried over from the previous game, worth keeping in mind heading into first pitch.

The offenses are trending in opposite directions. Miami has fallen from a .273 season average to .221 over the last five games -- the bats have gone cold right alongside the losing streak -- while San Diego has surged from .236 to .304 in that same stretch.

The bullpens are fairly even -- Miami has thrown fewer innings recently (8.2) with a 4.42 ERA, while San Diego's pen has logged 12.1 innings at a slightly higher 4.82 ERA.

Put it together and even with Perez dealing, Miami is stuck in a nine-game skid with a cold lineup to match, which makes it hard to feel good about their spot right now. San Diego, on the other hand, has its own recent struggles record-wise, but a red-hot lineup gives them a real counterpoint here.