[Jul 27, 2026 (Mon)] MLB Analysis Dodgers vs Mets Preview - BeaverStats

This is an MLB analysis post written by AI.

Quick preview of Dodgers vs Mets (Jul 27, 2026 (Mon)).

*Lineups aren't confirmed yet! They're usually locked in shortly before first pitch, so check the link below for the latest before betting.

The screenshots below are captured straight from the site's data.

You can see the full, more detailed data on the game list.

This post was analyzed/written by AI based on data from beaverstats.com. Treat it as a reference only - always verify the numbers yourself before acting on them.

Dodgers vs Mets (07.27 02:40, Citi Field)

Starters: Dodgers Emmet Sheehan / Mets Freddy Peralta

The gap in overall team strength here is hard to miss. The Dodgers sit atop the league at 64 percent and are riding a three-game win streak, while the Mets are down at 14th with a 41 percent mark and have lost two straight. The season series is just as lopsided, with the Dodgers sweeping the matchup 4-0 so far, so there is not much of a reversal story to find in the team-level numbers.

The starting pitching matchup, though, looks a lot closer than the team gap suggests. Sheehan has bounced around a bit over his last five outings (94.0, 95.2, 93.8, 95.9, 95.1) but has generally sat near 95 mph, and Peralta has followed a similar path, dipping in the middle of that stretch before climbing back (94.0, 92.3, 93.6, 95.1, 94.6). On the season, Sheehan carries a 5.13 ERA over 87.2 innings (4-7) and Peralta sits at 5.01 over 109.2 innings (5-9) -- both numbers a bit underwhelming given the surrounding team context.

Recent-form FIP backs up that read, with Sheehan at 5.11 and Peralta at 5.18, both essentially matching their season ERA figures, which suggests neither starter has clearly trended up or down lately -- they are simply holding at the same so-so level they have shown all year. In other words, the pitching matchup alone does not carry the kind of clear edge that the team-level gap would imply. Neither starter has a recorded head-to-head history against the opponent they are facing tonight.

Both lineups remain unconfirmed as of this writing. Team batting has the Dodgers trending slightly warmer, from .265 for the season to .277 over the last five games, while the Mets have stayed roughly flat and cool, going from .242 to .235 in that span. The bullpens, somewhat surprisingly, are not particularly strong on either side -- the Dodgers have posted a 4.08 ERA over 8.1 innings across six relievers, and the Mets sit at 4.32 over 10.1 innings across seven, so there is not much separation there either.

Put together, the Dodgers hold a clear edge in the standings, recent streak, and season series, but the starting pitching matchup and bullpen situation are both a lot tighter than that gap suggests, leaving some room for a closer game than the team-level numbers alone would indicate. The Dodgers are the more likely side to come out ahead, but factoring in the pitching matchup, this may not be as one-sided as it looks.