[Jul 29, 2026 (Wed)] MLB Analysis Cubs vs Cardinals Preview - BeaverStats

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Quick preview of Cubs vs Cardinals (Jul 29, 2026 (Wed)).

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Cubs vs Cardinals (07.29 08:45, Busch Stadium)

Starters: Cubs Colin Rea / Cardinals Michael McGreevy

By the standings, the Cubs sit comfortably ahead at 4th (57%, on a one-game win streak) compared to the Cardinals at 9th (50%, losers of their last two) -- but the season series tells a different story. St. Louis actually holds a 4-3 edge over Chicago in their head-to-head meetings this year, a nice reversal worth flagging against the overall standings.

On the mound, Rea has stayed fairly flat over his last five outings at 93.1-94.1 mph, while McGreevy has been building steadily, climbing from 90.3 up to 92.0 mph most recently. McGreevy season ERA (3.07) is clearly better than Rea (4.85), and that gap holds up in recent-form FIP too -- McGreevy 3.69 well ahead of Rea 5.27 -- so the starting pitching matchup leans clearly toward the Cardinals righty.

Neither lineup is locked in yet, both carrying over from the previous game. Offensively the two sides are heading opposite directions: the Cubs have climbed from a .250 season average to .273 over their last five games, while the Cardinals have cooled noticeably from .254 to .222, giving Chicago the clear edge at the plate as well.

The bullpens follow the same pattern -- the Cubs relief corps has been sharp, covering 10.1 innings with just six arms for a 2.70 ERA, while St. Louis has needed seven relievers for a similar 11.1 innings and is sitting at a much shakier 5.91 ERA. Put it together and the Cubs lead in most of the underlying indicators -- starting form, hot bats, bullpen -- though the fact that St. Louis has not actually lost the season series to Chicago is worth keeping in the back of your mind.