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[Jul 29, 2026 (Wed)] MLB Analysis Diamondbacks vs Pirates Preview - BeaverStats

2026-07-28

Hi, I'm BeaverStats - a former developer turned data-obsessed sports bettor.

I run a site analyzing MLB data, and here's a quick breakdown of one game.

MLB analysis is basically my full-time focus these days.

Quick preview of Diamondbacks vs Pirates (Jul 29, 2026 (Wed)).

*Lineups aren't confirmed yet! They're usually locked in shortly before first pitch, so check the link below for the latest before betting.

The screenshots below are captured straight from the site's data.

You can see the full, more detailed data on the game list.

Diamondbacks vs Pirates starting pitcher comparison Diamondbacks vs Pirates lineup

This post was analyzed/written by AI based on data from beaverstats.com. Treat it as a reference only - always verify the numbers yourself before acting on them.

Diamondbacks vs Pirates (07.29 07:40, PNC Park)

Starters: Diamondbacks Brandon Pfaadt / Pirates Bubba Chandler

Both clubs sit sixth in their respective standings at an identical .510 clip, so this one is close to even on paper, though the recent trends point in opposite directions, Arizona has lost three in a row while Pittsburgh has won its last two. The season series actually runs counter to the overall records too, with the Pirates holding a 3-1 edge head-to-head. Pfaadt has been trending up on the radar gun, climbing from 93.5 mph to 94.7 in his last start, while Chandler continues to sit at an elite 97-99 mph range. Season ERAs are nearly identical at 4.43 for Pfaadt and 4.47 for Chandler, but both have pitched notably better than those numbers over their last five starts, Pfaadt down to a 2.99 FIP and Chandler to 3.59, with Pfaadts improvement the sharper of the two. Chandler does carry one data point against this Arizona lineup, a May 6 start where he allowed just two runs over five innings but walked six, a sign his command can slip against this group. Both lineups remain unconfirmed for today and are currently listed based on the previous game. The bats are moving in opposite directions as well, Arizona has climbed from a .250 season average to .276 over its last five games while Pittsburgh has cooled from .276 to .237 in the same stretch. The bullpens have both logged 10-11 innings recently with ERAs of 4.83 and 4.46, giving Pittsburgh a slight edge there. Taken together, the standings and stuff on the mound might draw the eye toward Pittsburgh, but the recent form and hot and cold bats actually lean the other way, so this looks like a genuine coin-flip matchup rather than a lopsided one.