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[Jul 29, 2026 (Wed)] MLB Analysis Mariners vs Dodgers Preview - BeaverStats

2026-07-28

Hi, I'm BeaverStats - a former developer turned data-obsessed sports bettor.

I run a site analyzing MLB data, and here's a quick breakdown of one game.

MLB analysis is basically my full-time focus these days.

Quick preview of Mariners vs Dodgers (Jul 29, 2026 (Wed)).

*Lineups aren't confirmed yet! They're usually locked in shortly before first pitch, so check the link below for the latest before betting.

The screenshots below are captured straight from the site's data.

You can see the full, more detailed data on the game list.

Mariners vs Dodgers starting pitcher comparison Mariners vs Dodgers lineup

This post was analyzed/written by AI based on data from beaverstats.com. Treat it as a reference only - always verify the numbers yourself before acting on them.

Mariners vs Dodgers (07.29 11:10, Dodger Stadium)

Starters: Mariners Luis Castillo / Dodgers Justin Wrobleski

The Dodgers are the league's top team by winning percentage (.630), a big step above the Mariners at 9th (.490). Both clubs come in having lost their last game, though, so even the league's best isn't immune to a rough patch right now. The two teams haven't met yet this season, so there's no head-to-head history to lean on here.

On the mound it's Justin Wrobleski for LA against Luis Castillo for Seattle. Wrobleski's velocity has climbed noticeably over his last five starts, from the low-93s up into the 95 range, a good sign for his stuff. Castillo, meanwhile, has already been sitting comfortably around 95 all along. By ERA, Wrobleski's 2.62 is well ahead of Castillo's 4.85, and his last-five FIP actually drops even lower to 2.33 - genuinely front-of-rotation type numbers right now. Castillo's FIP sits at 4.62, roughly matching his season ERA.

Neither lineup is locked in yet, so there's room for late changes. At the plate, the Dodgers have ticked up from a .264 season average to .270 over their last five games, and the Mariners have nudged up too, from .241 to .247 - both offenses look to be in decent shape. The bullpens flip the script a bit: Seattle's relievers have posted a sharp 3.16 ERA recently compared to LA's 5.23, which could matter if this one stays close late.

Put it all together and the Dodgers look like the safer side given their standings and starter form, but Seattle isn't cold at the plate and actually holds the bullpen edge, so this isn't the kind of mismatch the records alone might suggest.