BeaverStats
← Back to list

[Jul 29, 2026 (Wed)] MLB Analysis Red Sox vs Athletics Preview - BeaverStats

2026-07-28

Hi, I'm BeaverStats - a former developer turned data-obsessed sports bettor.

I run a site analyzing MLB data, and here's a quick breakdown of one game.

MLB analysis is basically my full-time focus these days.

Quick preview of Red Sox vs Athletics (Jul 29, 2026 (Wed)).

*Lineups aren't confirmed yet! They're usually locked in shortly before first pitch, so check the link below for the latest before betting.

The screenshots below are captured straight from the site's data.

You can see the full, more detailed data on the game list.

Red Sox vs Athletics starting pitcher comparison Red Sox vs Athletics lineup

This post was analyzed/written by AI based on data from beaverstats.com. Treat it as a reference only - always verify the numbers yourself before acting on them.

Red Sox vs Athletics (07.29 10:40, Sutter Health Park)

Starters: Red Sox Jake Bennett / Athletics Gage Jump

The gap here is obvious just from the standings. Boston sits 3rd at a 52 percent win rate and is riding a two-game win streak, while Oakland sits 14th at 42 percent and has dropped three straight. The season series also favors Boston, 1-0, so nearly every top-line indicator points the same direction in this one.

On velocity, Bennett has sat in the low-90s across his last five starts (92.6, 91.5, 93.8, 92.8, 91.6), while Jump has thrown noticeably harder, sitting around 96 (95.9, 97.2, 95.7, 95.6, 96.4).

Season ERA has Bennett well ahead at a sharp 2.58 against Jumps more pedestrian 4.42. The last-five-start FIP widens that gap further: Bennetts ticked up to 3.54 but remains solid, while Jumps has spiked to 6.58, pointing to a real recent slide. That shows up in the results too: Bennett has won all five of his last starts, going at least five innings every time, while Jump has lost all five of his, with several short outings mixed in.

Neither starter has faced todays opponent recently, so there is no head-to-head data to weigh here.

Both lineups remain unconfirmed as of now, carried over from the previous games, so the actual batting orders could still shift.

The offensive split adds to the gap. Boston has actually heated up, climbing from a .243 season average to .270 over the last five games, while Oakland has cooled sharply, dropping from .252 to .209 over the same stretch.

The bullpen numbers are even more lopsided. Bostons relief corps has been sharp, throwing 12.2 innings recently at a 1.93 ERA, while Oaklands pen has been worked hard, 15.2 innings, and it shows, with an ERA that has climbed all the way to 8.80.

Across the board, standings, recent form, starter trends, bat temperature, and bullpen health, almost every signal here leans toward Boston. Still, baseball is a sport where a single game can always produce a surprise, so even with a gap this wide, nothing here should be read as a sure thing.