[Aug 3, 2026 (Mon)] MLB Analysis Phillies vs Orioles Preview - BeaverStats

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I run a site analyzing MLB data, and here's a quick breakdown of one game.

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Quick preview of Phillies vs Orioles (Aug 3, 2026 (Mon)).

*Lineups aren't confirmed yet! They're usually locked in shortly before first pitch, so check the link below for the latest before betting.

The screenshots below are captured straight from the site's data.

You can see the full, more detailed data on the game list.

This post was analyzed/written by AI based on data from beaverstats.com. Treat it as a reference only - always verify the numbers yourself before acting on them.

Phillies vs Orioles (Aug 3, 02:35, Oriole Park at Camden Yards)

Starters: Phillies Zack Wheeler / Orioles Kyle Bradish

This matches the NL's 6th-place Phillies (58-53, .520) against the AL's 9th-place Orioles (54-57, .490). Momentum matches the standings - the Phillies are on a 1-game win streak, the Orioles on a 1-game skid.

This is a continuing series, so the head-to-head is very fresh - the Phillies took yesterday's game (8/2) 5-0 on the road, and the Orioles won the one before that (8/1) 6-4 at home. Even split, 1-1, over the last two.

The starting matchup clearly favors Wheeler. His season ERA is 2.53 (103 IP), even better on the road at 2.39, and he's 10-2. Bradish sits at 3.74 on the season (118 IP), a solid 3.20 at home, but his 7-9 record trails behind.

On velocity, Wheeler has ticked down slightly over his last 5 - 95.5, 94.7, 94.5, 94.8, 93.4 mph - though he's still sitting in the mid-90s. Bradish has held a similar steady band at 94.7, 94.0, 94.0, 94.1, 93.8.

Neither lineup is locked in yet. Neither starter has faced this opponent yet this season, so there's no individual matchup history to draw from.

The bullpens favor the Orioles - they've thrown 12.0 innings recently versus just 6.7 for the Phillies, yet their ERA (2.87) is far better than Philadelphia's (4.78).

Offensively, the Phillies have the edge - hitting .267 over their last 5 games versus a .251 season average, while the Orioles have cooled from .232 to .216.

In summary, the standings, starting matchup, and recent hitting form all lean toward the Phillies. The Orioles' one clear strength is their bullpen, which gives them a chance to hang on if this turns into a close one.