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[Aug 3, 2026 (Mon)] MLB Analysis Cardinals vs Blue Jays Preview - BeaverStats

2026-08-02

Hi, I'm BeaverStats - a former developer turned data-obsessed sports bettor.

I run a site analyzing MLB data, and here's a quick breakdown of one game.

MLB analysis is basically my full-time focus these days.

Quick preview of Cardinals vs Blue Jays (Aug 3, 2026 (Mon)).

*Lineups aren't confirmed yet! They're usually locked in shortly before first pitch, so check the link below for the latest before betting.

The screenshots below are captured straight from the site's data.

You can see the full, more detailed data on the game list.

Cardinals vs Blue Jays starting pitcher comparison Cardinals vs Blue Jays lineup

This post was analyzed/written by AI based on data from beaverstats.com. Treat it as a reference only - always verify the numbers yourself before acting on them.

Cardinals vs Blue Jays (Aug 3, 02:37, Rogers Centre)

Starters: Cardinals Matthew Liberatore / Blue Jays Max Scherzer

There isn't much separating the NL's 11th-place Cardinals (54-57, .490) from the AL's 12th-place Blue Jays (52-59, .470) in the standings. But the momentum is completely split - the Cardinals are on a 3-game losing streak, the Blue Jays on a 3-game win streak.

That win streak has come entirely from this matchup. This is a continuing series, and Toronto has won both games so far - 3-1 on 8/1 and 5-1 on 8/2.

The standout storyline in the starting matchup is Max Scherzer's season. He's thrown just 24.2 innings this year (his velocity log shows only 5 starts spread from April to July, a sign of very limited usage), with a 9.49 ERA that balloons to 12.94 in home starts. Liberatore isn't great either at 5.26 (102.2 IP), but both his sample size and results are far steadier than Scherzer's.

On velocity, Liberatore has been consistent at 94.3, 93.9, 94.7, 93.9, 94.6 mph. Scherzer has crept up slightly - 93.1, 93.2, 92.8, 93.6, 93.7 - but with such sparse starts, it's hard to read much into his current form.

Neither lineup is locked in yet, and neither starter has faced today's opponent this season.

The bullpens clearly favor Toronto - both sides have thrown 8.7 innings recently, but Toronto's 2.61 ERA is far better than St. Louis's 5.92.

Offense is a small edge for Toronto too - both teams sit at a .252 season average, but the Blue Jays have ticked up to .257 over their last 5 games while the Cardinals have cooled to .226.

In summary, the standings are close, but recent momentum, the head-to-head, the bullpens, and hitting form all lean toward Toronto. Scherzer's severe struggles in particular make this a welcome matchup for the Cardinals.