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[Aug 7, 2026 (Fri)] MLB Analysis Angels vs Orioles Preview - BeaverStats

2026-08-06

Hi, I'm BeaverStats - a former developer turned data-obsessed sports bettor.

I run a site analyzing MLB data, and here's a quick breakdown of one game.

MLB analysis is basically my full-time focus these days.

Quick preview of Angels vs Orioles (Aug 7, 2026 (Fri)).

*Lineups aren't confirmed yet! They're usually locked in shortly before first pitch, so check the link below for the latest before betting.

The screenshots below are captured straight from the site's data.

You can see the full, more detailed data on the game list.

Angels vs Orioles starting pitcher comparison Angels vs Orioles lineup

This post was analyzed/written by AI based on data from beaverstats.com. Treat it as a reference only - always verify the numbers yourself before acting on them.

Angels vs Orioles (08.07 01:35, Oriole Park)

Starters: Angels Ryan Johnson / Orioles Brandon Young

The Angels sit 15th (38% win rate) on a two-game skid, while the Orioles are 8th (49%) riding a two-game winning streak, so Baltimore clearly has the edge in the standings. The season series also favors the Orioles at 3-2, in line with the broader trend.

Tonight's starters are Ryan Johnson for the Angels and Brandon Young for the Orioles. Johnson's 7.63 ERA is among the worst in the league and his last-five-start FIP has climbed to 6.62, suggesting his form keeps getting worse - but oddly enough, he's been a completely different pitcher against Baltimore specifically, with a 0.00 ERA in that matchup and a dominant scoreless six-inning outing back on June 24. Young has been steady all year, working to a 3.31 ERA over 103.1 innings, and his last-five FIP (3.85) is right in line with his season number.

Both lineups remain unconfirmed. On the Orioles' side, it's worth noting that every hitter with recorded history against Johnson - Alonso, Henderson, Mayo, Kowar, Tavera, and Narvaez - has gone hitless in that matchup. The sample is small, but it backs up the sense that Johnson has had Baltimore's number.

Both offenses have cooled, though Baltimore more noticeably so - the Angels have gone from .245 on the season to .211 over the last five games, while the Orioles have dropped from .224 to .193.

The bullpens are fairly even, with the Angels' 3.89 ERA over the last ten games slightly better than Baltimore's 4.19.

In summary, Baltimore holds the edge in the standings, recent form, and offense overall, but Johnson's specific track record against the Orioles - and their hitters' struggles against him - could make the starting matchup closer than expected. Given how poor Johnson's overall season has been, that reversal shouldn't be overstated, so on balance the Orioles still look like the slightly more favored side.