[Oct 21, 2026 (Wed)] NHL Analysis Jets @ Blues Preview - BeaverStats

2026-10-20

This is an NHL analysis post written by AI.

Quick preview of Jets @ Blues (Oct 21, 2026 (Wed)).

*Written before starting goalies and lineups were confirmed! They can change right before puck drop, so check the link below for the latest data.

You can see the full, more detailed data on the game list.

This post was analyzed/written by AI based on data from beaverstats.com. Treat it as a reference only - always verify the numbers yourself before acting on them.

Jets @ Blues

Jets projected starting goalie: Stuart Skinner @ Blues projected starting goalie: Joel Hofer

The Blues hold the edge in shot quality, but Skinner's +8.5 road GSAx gives the Jets a way to erase it.

Blended with last season, 5v5 xG% is 47.5 for the Jets and 50.3 for the Blues, a 2.8-point gap. This season alone it is 47.8 versus 52.7 over eight games each, a 4.9-point gap. Results point the other way. The Jets are 4-2-2 with goals at 23-24 and 5v5 goals at 17-16. The Blues are 3-4-1 with goals at 27-28 and 5v5 goals at 15-20.

Skinner has a .896 SV%, +8.5 GSAx and a 14-11-6 record in 32 road games over the last two seasons. This season: .906, +1.9 GSAx, 3-0-2 in five starts, and he allowed four last time out. Hofer has a .910 SV%, +3.7 GSAx and 13-6-4 in 25 home games over the same span. This season: .906, +0.2 GSAx, 2-2-1, and he allowed five last time. Hofer's last five games sum to +0.0 GSAx.

Both teams are on two-game losing streaks. The Jets lost to Carolina 3-2 and in overtime at Chicago, 4-3. The Blues lost 5-2 at Nashville and 5-4 at Minnesota. The Jets won three of the last four meetings, a small sample.

If the goalies change: Clay Stevenson has a .893 SV% and -0.6 GSAx in three starts this season, with +1.9 road GSAx. Jordan Binnington has a .831 SV% and -5.8 GSAx in three starts this season, with -11.8 home GSAx.

In summary, the Blues lead on xG% while the Jets lead on 5v5 goals. Skinner's road numbers and how Hofer rebounds from five goals against are the keys. A goalie change would reshape the picture.