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[Oct 16, 2026 (Fri)] NHL Analysis Flyers @ Red Wings Preview - BeaverStats

2026-10-15

This is an NHL analysis post written by AI.

Quick preview of Flyers @ Red Wings (Oct 16, 2026 (Fri)).

*Written before starting goalies and lineups were confirmed! They can change right before puck drop, so check the link below for the latest data.

You can see the full, more detailed data on the game list.

This post was analyzed/written by AI based on data from beaverstats.com. Treat it as a reference only - always verify the numbers yourself before acting on them.

Flyers @ Red Wings

Flyers projected starting goalie: Dan Vladar @ Red Wings confirmed starting goalie: Daniil Tarasov

Two teams on losing streaks meet, and the gap in net is the biggest difference.

Early in the season, so blending last year with this one, 5v5 xG% is close: Flyers 49.5, Red Wings 47.9. This season alone it is 33.2 for Philadelphia (8 games) and 50.5 for Detroit (6 games). The Flyers are 0-5-3 with a 10-31 goal difference. The Red Wings are 1-3-2 at 14-20.

Tarasov has a .919 SV% and +9.4 GSAx in 16 home games across the last two seasons, with an 8-4-2 record as a starter. This season he is at .974 and +4.1 GSAx, with +7.6 GSAx over his last five and a shutout in his latest start. Vladar is .905 with +6.7 GSAx in 29 road games, but this season he is at .875 and -1.6 GSAx (0-3-1).

Philadelphia has lost five straight, most recently 3-2 in a shootout to Seattle. Detroit has lost three straight, including 5-4 in overtime to New Jersey. In their last three meetings, Philadelphia went 1-2.

Vladar is only projected from pre-game reports. If Joseph Woll starts instead, he brings a .914 SV% and +1.6 GSAx this season (0-2-2), but -0.3 GSAx on the road.

In summary, the season-long team numbers are close, but this season's form and the goalie numbers lean toward Detroit. Philadelphia needs its goalie to match Tarasov's home form to break the streak.