[Oct 16, 2026 (Fri)] NHL Analysis Jets @ Blackhawks Preview - BeaverStats

This is an NHL analysis post written by AI.

Quick preview of Jets @ Blackhawks (Oct 16, 2026 (Fri)).

*Written before starting goalies and lineups were confirmed! They can change right before puck drop, so check the link below for the latest data.

You can see the full, more detailed data on the game list.

This post was analyzed/written by AI based on data from beaverstats.com. Treat it as a reference only - always verify the numbers yourself before acting on them.

Jets @ Blackhawks

Jets projected starting goalie: Stuart Skinner @ Blackhawks projected starting goalie: Spencer Knight

The question is whether Skinner's road GSAx of +9.2 and the 5v5 xG% gap point the same way against Knight's home +1.0.

Blending last season with this one, 5v5 xG% is 47.4 for the Jets and 42.9 for the Blackhawks, a 4.4-point gap. This season alone it is 45.3 to 38.6. Winnipeg is 4-1-1 with goals 18-17 and 5v5 goals 13-13. Chicago is 2-5 with goals 17-29 and 5v5 goals 11-20.

Save percentages are close, but GSAx is not. Skinner has a .897 SV% and +9.2 GSAx in 31 road games over two seasons, 14-11-5 in starts. This year: .917, +2.6, 3-0-1. Knight has .895 and +1.0 in 32 home games, 13-12-7. This year: .885, -0.2, 2-3.

Both teams have won one straight. Winnipeg beat Minnesota 5-2 on Oct. 14, and Chicago beat Pittsburgh 5-3. The Jets won three of the last four meetings.

Neither starter is confirmed. If Clay Stevenson starts, Winnipeg gets .872 and -1.0 GSAx this season. If Arvid Soderblom starts, Chicago gets .820 and -3.2 this season, and -5.6 GSAx at home.

In summary, both the 5v5 numbers and the goal totals favor Winnipeg, and Skinner's road GSAx widens the gap. Confirmation of the starters is the key.