[Oct 17, 2026 (Sat)] NHL Analysis Bruins @ Ducks Preview - BeaverStats

This is an NHL analysis post written by AI.

Quick preview of Bruins @ Ducks (Oct 17, 2026 (Sat)).

*Written before starting goalies and lineups were confirmed! They can change right before puck drop, so check the link below for the latest data.

You can see the full, more detailed data on the game list.

This post was analyzed/written by AI based on data from beaverstats.com. Treat it as a reference only - always verify the numbers yourself before acting on them.

Bruins @ Ducks

Bruins projected starting goalie: Jeremy Swayman @ Ducks projected starting goalie: Lukas Dostal

The blended numbers lean slightly to Anaheim, but this season's play and the goaltending matchup point toward Boston.

Blending last season with this one, 5v5 xG% is 48.1 for the Bruins and 50.9 for the Ducks, a 2.8-point edge for the home side. This season alone it flips: Boston 53.2 over seven games, Anaheim 47.9 over six. Boston is 5-2 with a 26-16 goal difference and 19-8 at 5v5. Anaheim is 4-2, 20-17 overall and 10-12 at 5v5.

In goal, Swayman has a .898 save percentage and +2.7 GSAx in 29 road games (14-11-3). This season he is 5-1 with a .930 and +5.5 GSAx. Dostal has a .878 and -9.1 GSAx in 32 home games (19-9-3). The wins are there, but the team has done much of the work. This season he is 3-2 with a .892 and +1.0 GSAx.

Boston has won three straight by 6-3, 5-1 and 6-1. Anaheim lost 2-4 to Calgary and is on a one-game skid. Boston lost both meetings last season, a small sample.

Both goalies are still projected. If DiPietro replaces Swayman, he brings a .897 and -0.6 GSAx from one start. If Husso replaces Dostal, he has a .935 and +1.1 GSAx in two games, though his home GSAx is -3.4.

In summary, this is a game where the blended 5v5 numbers favor Anaheim while this season's results and goaltending favor Boston. The key is how much the Ducks' skaters can cover for Dostal's home -9.1 GSAx.