[Oct 21, 2026 (Wed)] NHL Analysis Maple Leafs @ Blue Jackets Preview - BeaverStats

This is an NHL analysis post written by AI.

Quick preview of Maple Leafs @ Blue Jackets (Oct 21, 2026 (Wed)).

*Written before starting goalies and lineups were confirmed! They can change right before puck drop, so check the link below for the latest data.

You can see the full, more detailed data on the game list.

This post was analyzed/written by AI based on data from beaverstats.com. Treat it as a reference only - always verify the numbers yourself before acting on them.

Maple Leafs @ Blue Jackets

Maple Leafs confirmed starting goalie: Anthony Stolarz @ Blue Jackets projected starting goalie: Jet Greaves

The team numbers are close this season, but the goalies' home and road records point in opposite directions, so this game may be decided in the crease.

Blending last season with this one, 5v5 xG% is 45.2 for the Maple Leafs and 51.2 for the Blue Jackets. This season alone it is 46.8 for Toronto and 45.8 for Columbus. Toronto is 4-4 with 2 OT losses and a 32-33 goal difference. Columbus is 3-4 with 18-23.

Stolarz has an .889 SV% and -2.5 GSAx in 13 road games across both seasons, and he allowed 5 goals last time out. Greaves has a .907 SV% and +13.4 GSAx in 37 home games, and he posted a shutout last time.

Toronto is on a one-game win streak but playing a back-to-back. Columbus has lost its last game, 2-1 in Minnesota.

If Cam Talbot starts instead of Greaves, the picture changes. He is at .875 SV% and -0.3 GSAx this season, with a -4.0 home GSAx.

In summary, the Blue Jackets hold the edge in goaltending while the 5v5 numbers favor Toronto slightly. Whether Stolarz can bounce back on the second night of a back-to-back is the key, along with who actually starts for Columbus.