[Oct 16, 2026 (Fri)] NHL Analysis Flames @ Golden Knights Preview - BeaverStats

2026-10-15

This is an NHL analysis post written by AI.

Quick preview of Flames @ Golden Knights (Oct 16, 2026 (Fri)).

*Written before starting goalies and lineups were confirmed! They can change right before puck drop, so check the link below for the latest data.

You can see the full, more detailed data on the game list.

This post was analyzed/written by AI based on data from beaverstats.com. Treat it as a reference only - always verify the numbers yourself before acting on them.

Flames @ Golden Knights

Flames projected starting goalie: Dustin Wolf @ Golden Knights projected starting goalie: Carter Hart

Golden Knights lead clearly at 5v5, and Dustin Wolf's road GSAx of -14.8 could widen that gap in goal.

Even blending in last season, since it is early, the 5v5 xG% is 55.3 for Vegas and 46.5 for Calgary, a +8.8 point edge for the home side. This season alone it is 59.1 (8 games) against 49.1 (6 games), a +10.0 point gap. Vegas is 6-2 with goals 30-20 and 5v5 goals 19-14. Calgary is 1-5 with goals 12-29 and 5v5 goals 9-22.

In goal, Wolf has a .879 SV%, -14.8 GSAx and a 7-20 record in 29 road games over two seasons. This season he is at .839 and -5.9 GSAx in 4 games, 1-3. His last five GSAx total -4.4, and he allowed 2 last time. Hart is at .892, -2.5 GSAx and 7-2-2 in 12 home games. This season it is .906 and +0.2 GSAx, 3-2. His last five GSAx is +0.2, and he allowed 3 last time. His home record is strong, but the -2.5 GSAx says the team made most of those wins.

Both teams won on 1014, Calgary 4-2 at Anaheim and Vegas 5-2 at Nashville, so each is on a one-game streak. Calgary lost the latest meeting 3-6 on 2026.04.02.

If the goalies change, both are unconfirmed. Devin Cooley for Calgary has a .818 SV%, -4.9 GSAx and an 0-2 record this season, but +6.4 GSAx on the road. Adin Hill for Vegas has .903, -0.7 GSAx and 3-0 this season, with -5.3 GSAx at home.

In summary, Vegas holds the 5v5 edge. The key for Calgary is whether its goalie can outplay Wolf's road numbers. For Vegas, it is whether Hart or Hill avoids giving back that 5v5 advantage.