[Oct 18, 2026 (Sun)] NHL Analysis Senators @ Flyers Preview - BeaverStats

This is an NHL analysis post written by AI.

Quick preview of Senators @ Flyers (Oct 18, 2026 (Sun)).

*Written before starting goalies and lineups were confirmed! They can change right before puck drop, so check the link below for the latest data.

You can see the full, more detailed data on the game list.

This post was analyzed/written by AI based on data from beaverstats.com. Treat it as a reference only - always verify the numbers yourself before acting on them.

Senators @ Flyers

Senators projected starting goalie: Linus Ullmark @ Flyers projected starting goalie: Dan Vladar

Neither side is dominating at 5v5, but the gap between a 6-2 team and a team on a five-game losing streak shows up most in goal.

On 5v5 xG%, the Senators sit at 54.1 and the Flyers at 49.4 when last season is blended in. This season alone it is 44.5 (8 games) against 34.0 (9 games). Ottawa is 6-2 with goals 23-20 and 5v5 goals 13-13. Philadelphia is 0-6-3 with goals 11-33 and 5v5 goals 7-23.

Ullmark has an .882 SV% and -7.7 GSAx over 28 road games, with a 19-5-3 record, so the wins owe a lot to his team. This season he is 6-0 with a .949 SV% and +7.5 GSAx, including +6.3 over his last five. Vladar has a .900 SV% and +2.7 GSAx over 27 home games, but this season he is 0-3-1 with a .875 SV% and -1.6 GSAx.

Ottawa beat the Islanders 2-1 in a shootout and has won one straight. Philadelphia lost 2-1 at Detroit and has dropped five in a row. Ottawa won the October 9 meeting 2-1.

Neither starter is confirmed. If Samuel Ersson goes for Ottawa, he has a .829 SV% and -4.5 GSAx in three games this season. If Joseph Woll goes for Philadelphia, he has a .916 SV% and +3.1 GSAx in five games.

In summary, Ottawa leads on this season's 5v5 numbers and in recent goaltending. Philadelphia needs its goalie to hold up behind a defense that has allowed 33 goals. The key for Ottawa is whether Ullmark's form keeps covering a 44.5 xG%.