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[Oct 18, 2026 (Sun)] NHL Analysis Oilers @ Mammoth Preview - BeaverStats

2026-10-17

This is an NHL analysis post written by AI.

Quick preview of Oilers @ Mammoth (Oct 18, 2026 (Sun)).

*Written before starting goalies and lineups were confirmed! They can change right before puck drop, so check the link below for the latest data.

You can see the full, more detailed data on the game list.

This post was analyzed/written by AI based on data from beaverstats.com. Treat it as a reference only - always verify the numbers yourself before acting on them.

Oilers @ Mammoth

Oilers confirmed starting goalie: Tristan Jarry @ Mammoth projected starting goalie: Karel Vejmelka

Utah leads by 7.0 points in 5v5 xG% this season, but Jarry's -3.5 GSAx is the swing factor in net.

Even blending in last season, the Mammoth hold a 54.1 to 51.2 edge in 5v5 xG%. This season alone it is 60.2 to 53.2. Edmonton is 5-1-1 with a 31-22 goal difference (20-12 at 5v5). Utah is 6-2 at 31-21 (17-11 at 5v5).

The goalies contrast sharply. Jarry has a .893 SV% and +0.0 GSAx over 22 road games (13-4-3 as a starter), but this season he has a .837 SV% and -3.5 GSAx in two games. His last five games total -3.5, and he allowed one goal last time out. Vejmelka has a .897 SV% and +3.3 GSAx in 39 home games (23-12-2), and this season he is 5-1 with a .898 SV% and +0.7 GSAx. His last five sit at -1.0, with two goals allowed last time.

Utah has won three straight, including a 4-2 win over Edmonton on October 16, a small-sample note. The Oilers have lost one straight after four wins.

If Utah starts Sebastian Cossa instead, the picture changes. He has a .852 SV% and -1.1 GSAx in two starts this season, and +0.0 GSAx at home.

In summary, Utah has the stronger 5v5 profile. Whether Jarry bounces back is the key for Edmonton, and Vejmelka's confirmation would decide how big Utah's edge in net is.