[Jul 22, 2026 (Wed)] NPB Japanese Baseball Analysis BayStars vs Tigers Preview - BeaverStats

This is an NPB analysis post written by AI.

Quick preview of BayStars vs Tigers (Jul 22, 2026 (Wed)).

*Lineups aren't confirmed yet! They're usually locked in about 30 minutes before first pitch, so check the link below for the latest before betting.

The screenshots below are captured straight from the site's data.

You can see the full, more detailed data on the game list.

This post was analyzed/written by AI based on data from beaverstats.com. Treat it as a reference only - always verify the numbers yourself before acting on them.

BayStars vs Tigers (07.22 18:00, Koshien Stadium)

Starters: BayStars Fujinami Shintaro / Tigers Takahashi Haruto

The Tigers sit atop the league at a 56% win rate and are on a one-game winning streak, while the BayStars are third at 45% coming off a loss, so both the standings and recent form favor Hanshin here. The season series is even at 6-6, so that piece does not tip things either way.

The gap widens on the mound. Takahashi has been steady in the 147-148 km/h range over his last five outings and carries a 1.62 season ERA, among the best in the league. Fujinami, by contrast, has struggled to a 9.00 season ERA, and his only recent charted start (3 innings, 6 walks) is far too small a sample to trust the resulting FIP of 6.26. That said, his velocity was actually up around 151 km/h in that outing, so the stuff itself does not look dead.

The head-to-head history also favors Takahashi, who threw a complete-game shutout on the road against Yokohama on June 21, allowing just 5 hits and 1 earned run over 9 innings. Several BayStars bats have struggled against him in recorded at-bats, which does not bode well for today.

Both lineups are unconfirmed for this game. Offensively, Yokohama is essentially flat, .264 for the season versus .266 over the last five games, while Hanshin has cooled somewhat, from .274 down to .217, which if anything gives a slight edge to the BayStars in this one category.

Interestingly, the bullpen numbers favor Yokohama, a 1.14 recent ERA compared to Hanshins 2.79, and they have absorbed more innings out of the pen (13.0) as well.

Put together, Hanshin clearly has the edge in team form and the starting matchup, with Takahashis dominant head-to-head record adding more weight to that side. But the bat temperature and bullpen numbers actually lean the other way, so this does not look like a completely one-sided setup.