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[Aug 4, 2026 (Tue)] NPB Japanese Baseball Analysis Lions vs Marines Preview - BeaverStats

2026-08-04

This is an NPB analysis post written by AI.

Quick preview of Lions vs Marines (Aug 4, 2026 (Tue)).

*Lineups aren't confirmed yet! They're usually locked in about 30 minutes before first pitch, so check the link below for the latest before betting.

The screenshots below are captured straight from the site's data.

You can see the full, more detailed data on the game list.

Lions vs Marines starting pitcher comparison Lions vs Marines lineup

This post was analyzed/written by AI based on data from beaverstats.com. Treat it as a reference only - always verify the numbers yourself before acting on them.

Lions vs Marines (Aug 4, 18:00, Zozo Marine Stadium)

Starters: Kaima Taira (Lions) / Kazuya Ojima (Marines)

The Pacific League standings show a clear gap - the Lions are 2nd at .573, while the Marines sit 5th at .467. Recent form points the same way, with the Lions riding a 2-game win streak while the Marines have dropped their last one.

The season series leans the same direction. The Lions have won 3 of the last 5 meetings.

The starting pitching matchup clearly favors the Lions. Taira is running an elite 1.16 season ERA compared to Ojima's more middling 3.31. The velocity gap is just as stark - Ojima has been steady in the 145 km/h range (145.8→145.7→145.8→146.6→145.8) with barely any movement, while Taira operates in a much faster band and has actually trended up further, touching 155 km/h in his most recent outing (153.2→154.7→152.7→154.2→155.2).

The head-to-head record backs up Taira's edge too. Across his last four starts against the Marines, he threw a complete-game shutout on 3/29, went 7 scoreless on 4/12, and 6 scoreless on 7/14 - dominant stuff, with the lone rough outing coming on 5/3 when he allowed 2 earned in just 1 inning. Ojima's most recent start against the Lions (3/29) ended in a loss, 1 earned run over 4 innings.

Both lineups are still projected off the 8/2 game rather than confirmed. On the vs-pitcher numbers, the Marines' No. 3 hitter (Kyuto Ueda) stands out with a 0.508 wOBA, while the Lions' No. 2 spot (Taiga Kojima) is doing solid work at 0.444 - though both samples are thin enough that they shouldn't be read as more than a minor data point.

The bullpen is where the picture flips. The Marines actually have the better 10-game bullpen ERA at 2.36 versus the Lions' 3.16, though recent workload is close (8 relievers for the Marines over the last 3 games versus 6 for the Lions).

In summary, the Lions have the clear edge in standings, recent form, and especially the starting matchup, with the bullpen being the one category where the Marines come out ahead. Taira's form is strong enough that the Lions look like the favorites again tonight.