← Back to list

[Oct 24, 2026 (Sat)] NPB Japanese Baseball Analysis Hawks @ BayStars Preview - BeaverStats

2026-10-23

This is an NPB analysis post written by AI.

Quick preview of Hawks @ BayStars (Oct 24, 2026 (Sat)).

*Lineups aren't confirmed yet! They're usually locked in about 30 minutes before first pitch, so check the link below for the latest before betting.

You can see the full, more detailed data on the game list.

This post was analyzed/written by AI based on data from beaverstats.com. Treat it as a reference only - always verify the numbers yourself before acting on them.

10/24 소프트뱅크 vs 요코하마

소프트뱅크 starting pitcher: Uwasawa Naoyuki 요코하마 starting pitcher: Ishida Yutaro

Game 1 of the Japan Series, first to four wins, with the series at 0-0. 소프트뱅크 finished first at 91-49, while 요코하마 is third at 71-69. 소프트뱅크 won the season series 2-1. Over the last five games, 소프트뱅크 went 3-2 and 요코하마 won all five.

Uwasawa (10-4, 2.42 ERA) has a 2.92 FIP, so his ERA ran slightly better than his process. His last five starts (31.0 IP) are stronger: 2.48 FIP, 12.5% SwStr%, 28.1% CSW%, against 11.6% and 27.1% for the season. His latest outing, 6.0 IP with 2 ER against 닛폰햄, came with just 7.8% SwStr% and 24.5% CSW%, so the result looked better than the contact quality behind it. His velocity is steady, with averages from 148.7 to 149.1. His 1.57 road ERA (63 IP) sits beside a 2.81 FIP. He has no record against 요코하마.

Ishida (6-8, 2.86 ERA) has a 2.63 FIP, so his underlying work has been better than his record. His last five (29.0 IP) slipped to a 3.14 FIP, 9.6% BB%, 8.4% SwStr% and 25.1% CSW%. His last start, 5.0 IP and 1 ER against 요미우리, had a 7.6% SwStr% and 16.5% CSW%, so the result beat the process. His average velocity fell to 146.3 in that start, the lowest of his last five. At home he has a 3.06 ERA and 2.56 FIP over 67.2 IP. He has no record against 소프트뱅크.

Both lineups are unconfirmed, so this uses each team's previous lineup. 소프트뱅크 has a 133.4 season wRC+ and 140 homers, versus 121.7 and 84 for 요코하마, but its last five games produced .253/.335/.338wOBA. 콘도우 켄스케 (185.8 wRC+) and 쿠리하라 료야 (41 HR) lead the way. 요코하마 hit .274/.321/.341wOBA with 7 homers over its last five, with 마키 슈고 at .412/.524/.639wOBA. That is a five-game sample.

The bullpens are close: 소프트뱅크 used 13.3 IP across 6 pitchers recently, 요코하마 11 IP across 8, with ten-game ERAs of 1.71 and 1.85. The forecast shows a 90% chance of precipitation.

In summary, this is a matchup of 소프트뱅크's stronger season profile against 요코하마's hotter recent bats. Uwasawa's rising whiff numbers contrast with Ishida's recent dip in velocity and swing-and-miss. The confirmed lineups and the weather are the keys.